Empire State Realty Stock Price Prediction
| OGCP Stock | USD 6.35 0.02 0.32% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.015 |
Using Empire State hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Empire State Realty from the perspective of Empire State response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Empire State to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Empire because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Empire State after-hype prediction price | USD 6.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Empire State Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Empire State's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Empire State After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Empire State at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Empire State or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Empire State, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Empire State Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Empire State's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Empire State's historical news coverage. Empire State's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.92 and 9.78, respectively. We have considered Empire State's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Empire State is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Empire State Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Empire State Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Empire State is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Empire State backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Empire State, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 3.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 32 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.35 | 6.35 | 0.00 |
|
Empire State Hype Timeline
Empire State Realty is now traded for 6.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Empire is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Empire State is about 5078.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.35. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.97. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Empire State Realty last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 32 days. Check out Empire State Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Empire State Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Empire State's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Empire State's future price movements. Getting to know how Empire State's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Empire State may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADC | Agree Realty | 0.05 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.23 | (1.37) | 3.42 | |
| CXW | CoreCivic | (0.01) | 13 per month | 2.76 | (0.01) | 2.99 | (3.36) | 11.65 | |
| DEI | Douglas Emmett | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.57 | (2.88) | 7.29 | |
| IVT | Inventrust Properties Corp | (0.56) | 18 per month | 0.94 | (0.06) | 1.79 | (1.28) | 4.65 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.57 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.90 | (1.77) | 6.05 | |
| INN | Summit Hotel Properties | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.84 | (3.72) | 11.15 | |
| PEB | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | (0.14) | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.02 | 4.19 | (2.35) | 11.55 | |
| PK | Park Hotels Resorts | (0.01) | 4 per month | 1.63 | (0) | 3.89 | (2.40) | 9.28 | |
| DX | Dynex Capital | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.44 | 0.17 | 1.89 | (1.08) | 3.57 | |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | (0.30) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.39 | (4.81) | 14.04 |
Empire State Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Empire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Empire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Empire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Empire State Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Empire State stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Empire State Realty, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Empire State based on analysis of Empire State hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Empire State's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Empire State's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0172 | 0.0161 | 0.0185 | 0.0176 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.11 | 2.23 | 2.56 | 3.88 |
Pair Trading with Empire State
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Empire State position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Empire State will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Empire Stock
| 0.65 | BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Empire Stock
| 0.75 | PINE | Alpineome Property Trust | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | SBRA | Sabra Healthcare REIT | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | NHI | National Health Investors | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | NSR | National Storage REIT | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | HOT-U | American Hotel Income | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | RFF | Rural Funds Group | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Empire State could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Empire State when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Empire State - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Empire State Realty to buy it.
The correlation of Empire State is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Empire State moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Empire State Realty moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Empire State can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Empire Stock Analysis
When running Empire State's price analysis, check to measure Empire State's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empire State is operating at the current time. Most of Empire State's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empire State's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empire State's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empire State to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.