On4 Communications Stock Price Prediction
| ONCI Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using On4 Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of On4 Communications from the perspective of On4 Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in On4 Communications to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying On4 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
On4 Communications after-hype prediction price | USD 9.8E-5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
On4 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of On4 Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
On4 Communications After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of On4 Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in On4 Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of On4 Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
On4 Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting On4 Communications' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on On4 Communications' historical news coverage. On4 Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered On4 Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
On4 Communications is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of On4 Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.
On4 Communications Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as On4 Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading On4 Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with On4 Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
60.00 | 254.59 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.000098 | 1.64 |
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On4 Communications Hype Timeline
On4 Communications is now traded for 0.0001. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. On4 is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.8E-5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.64%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 60.0%. The volatility of related hype on On4 Communications is about 3.306363636E7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.05. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. On4 Communications had 1:450 split on the 15th of October 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out On4 Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.On4 Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to On4 Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict On4 Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how On4 Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how On4 Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TGHI | Touchpoint Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LQAVF | Liquid Avatar Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IMTL | Image Protect | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| VSST | Voice Assist | (0.01) | 1 per month | 7.69 | 0.11 | 11.94 | (20.51) | 1,056 | |
| IGEN | IGEN Networks Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XIGMF | Xigem Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 233.33 | |
| TTTSF | TruTrace Technologies | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MAPT | Maptelligent | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | |
| DLAD | Cabal Communications | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FDMSF | Fandom Sports Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 |
On4 Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine On4 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for On4 using various technical indicators. When you analyze On4 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About On4 Communications Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of On4 Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as On4 Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of On4 Communications based on analysis of On4 Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to On4 Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to On4 Communications's related companies.
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Complementary Tools for On4 Pink Sheet analysis
When running On4 Communications' price analysis, check to measure On4 Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy On4 Communications is operating at the current time. Most of On4 Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of On4 Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move On4 Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of On4 Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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