Pan American Silver Stock Price Prediction

PAAS Stock  USD 24.30  0.14  0.57%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Pan American's stock price is slightly above 68 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pan, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 68

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pan American's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pan American and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pan American's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pan American Silver, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Pan American's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.78)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.19
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.1476
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.8274
Wall Street Target Price
27.9375
Using Pan American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pan American Silver from the perspective of Pan American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pan American using Pan American's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pan American's stock price.

Pan American Short Interest

An investor who is long Pan American may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Pan American and may potentially protect profits, hedge Pan American with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
21.7203
Short Percent
0.0116
Short Ratio
3.06
Shares Short Prior Month
36.6 M
50 Day MA
22.4864

Pan American Silver Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Pan American's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pan American Silver. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pan American's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pan American.

Pan American Implied Volatility

    
  0.53  
Pan American's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pan American Silver stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pan American's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pan American stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pan American's options are near their expiration.
Implied Volatility100%
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pan American to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Pan American after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 24.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pan contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pan American Silver will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Pan American trading at USD 24.3, that is roughly USD 0.008049 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pan American's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pan American Silver options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Pan American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5426.3229.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.1323.9126.69
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.4529.0632.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.190.260.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pan American. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pan American's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pan American's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pan American Silver.

Pan American After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pan American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pan American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pan American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1524.3424.3624.3824.424.4224.4424.4624.4824.5 Price after next news: 24.42 0.0515940.0515950.0515960.0515970.051598
       Expected price to next headline  

Pan American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pan American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pan American's historical news coverage. Pan American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.64 and 27.20, respectively. We have considered Pan American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
24.30
24.42
After-hype Price
27.20
Upside
Pan American is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pan American Silver is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pan American Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pan American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pan American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pan American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
2.78
  0.02 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.30
24.42
0.08 
2,780  
Notes

Pan American Hype Timeline

Pan American Silver is at this time traded for 24.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Pan is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Pan American is about 11120.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.29. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.9. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pan American Silver last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Pan American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15AskSlim Market Week - Friday, Nov. 29RGLD @ simplywall19.94Mako Mining Announces Its Intent to Acquire the MossMine in Arizona Expanding its Operations in the AmericasHMY @ financeBTG @ zacksWPM @ patchFNV @ financeFNV @ gurufocusHMY @ gurufocusGFI @ zacksNEM @ prnewswireAEM @ financeAU @ aolEGO @ gurufocusGFI @ financeIAG @ financeWPM @ insidermonkeyKGC @ newswireRGLD @ financeBTG @ insidermonkeyAU @ gurufocusNEM @ financeKGC @ financeGOLD @ fxstreetIAG @ simplywallHMY @ talkmarketsWPM @ newyorkerSAND @ gurufocusBTG @ seekingalphaNEM @ seekingalphaFNV @ cnbcGOLD @ globenewswireIAG @ zacksAU @ seekingalpha25.5NEM @ kalkinemediaWPM @ thelincolnianonlineAEM @ simplywallEGO @ businesswireKGC @ independentGOLD @ newsbtcAU @ financeJanFeb
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15DecJanFeb

Pan American Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pan American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pan American's future price movements. Getting to know how Pan American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pan American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NEMNewmont Goldcorp Corp 0.12 7 per month 1.72  0.1  3.49 (2.53) 8.92 
WPMWheaton Precious Metals 1.81 9 per month 1.76  0.13  3.25 (2.72) 8.29 
FNVFranco Nevada 2.43 10 per month 1.26  0.20  3.30 (2.33) 7.89 
KGCKinross Gold(0.25)9 per month 2.41  0.11  4.85 (4.83) 12.67 
RGLDRoyal Gold(1.63)8 per month 1.77  0.06  2.87 (2.49) 10.29 
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines(3.17)8 per month 1.68  0.19  4.20 (2.45) 9.75 
SANDSandstorm Gold Ltd 0.03 8 per month 2.39  0.07  3.25 (3.65) 11.26 
GOLDBarrick Gold Corp 0.03 6 per month 1.70  0.08  3.04 (2.71) 9.21 
BTGB2Gold Corp 0.02 9 per month 2.15  0.05  3.68 (3.33) 10.31 
GFIGold Fields Ltd 0.19 10 per month 1.45  0.24  4.16 (2.63) 9.79 
IAGIAMGold(0.24)10 per month 3.08  0.09  5.15 (5.30) 17.49 
AUAngloGold Ashanti plc 0.22 9 per month 1.85  0.18  5.09 (3.16) 10.55 
HMYHarmony Gold Mining 0.04 9 per month 2.43  0.14  5.01 (4.39) 15.31 
EGOEldorado Gold Corp 0.05 11 per month 0.00 (0.02) 4.42 (5.25) 16.79 

Pan American Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Pan American Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Pan American stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pan American Silver, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pan American based on analysis of Pan American hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pan American's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pan American's related companies.
 2022 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02640.01980.013
Price To Sales Ratio2.32.62.47

Story Coverage note for Pan American

The number of cover stories for Pan American depends on current market conditions and Pan American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pan American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pan American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Pan American Short Properties

Pan American's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pan American's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pan American Silver often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pan American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pan American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding363.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments887.3 M

Additional Tools for Pan Stock Analysis

When running Pan American's price analysis, check to measure Pan American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pan American is operating at the current time. Most of Pan American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pan American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pan American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pan American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.