Photocure (Norway) Price Prediction

PHO Stock  NOK 50.50  2.10  4.34%   
The value of RSI of Photocure's the stock price is about 63 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Photocure, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Photocure's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Photocure and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Photocure's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Photocure, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Photocure hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Photocure from the perspective of Photocure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Photocure to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Photocure because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Photocure after-hype prediction price

    
  NOK 50.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Photocure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.7549.1051.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.7146.0648.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.0351.7755.50
Details

Photocure After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Photocure at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Photocure or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Photocure, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Photocure Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Photocure's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Photocure's historical news coverage. Photocure's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.15 and 52.85, respectively. We have considered Photocure's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
50.50
50.50
After-hype Price
52.85
Upside
Photocure is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Photocure is based on 3 months time horizon.

Photocure Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Photocure is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Photocure backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Photocure, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
2.33
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
50.50
50.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Photocure Hype Timeline

Photocure is at this time traded for 50.50on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Photocure is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Photocure is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.50. About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.53. Photocure last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2013. The entity had 515:504 split on the 25th of January 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Photocure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Photocure Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Photocure's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Photocure's future price movements. Getting to know how Photocure's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Photocure may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Photocure Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Photocure price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Photocure using various technical indicators. When you analyze Photocure charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Photocure Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Photocure stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Photocure, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Photocure based on analysis of Photocure hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Photocure's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Photocure's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Photocure

The number of cover stories for Photocure depends on current market conditions and Photocure's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Photocure is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Photocure's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Photocure Short Properties

Photocure's future price predictability will typically decrease when Photocure's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Photocure often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Photocure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Photocure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments319 M

Other Information on Investing in Photocure Stock

Photocure financial ratios help investors to determine whether Photocure Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Photocure with respect to the benefits of owning Photocure security.