Polski Koncern (Poland) Price Prediction
| PKN Stock | 51.83 0.41 0.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Polski Koncern hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Polski Koncern Naftowy from the perspective of Polski Koncern response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Polski Koncern to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Polski because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Polski Koncern after-hype prediction price | PLN 52.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Polski |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Polski Koncern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Polski Koncern After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Polski Koncern at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Polski Koncern or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Polski Koncern, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Polski Koncern Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Polski Koncern's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Polski Koncern's historical news coverage. Polski Koncern's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.59 and 53.89, respectively. We have considered Polski Koncern's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Polski Koncern is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Polski Koncern Naftowy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Polski Koncern Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Polski Koncern is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Polski Koncern backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Polski Koncern, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
51.83 | 52.24 | 0.00 |
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Polski Koncern Hype Timeline
Polski Koncern Naftowy is at this time traded for 51.83on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Polski is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Polski Koncern is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.83. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Polski Koncern Naftowy recorded earning per share (EPS) of 40.1. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Polski Koncern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Polski Koncern Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Polski Koncern's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Polski Koncern's future price movements. Getting to know how Polski Koncern's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Polski Koncern may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PKN | Polski Koncern Naftowy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.50 | (2.91) | 7.71 | |
| ABS | Asseco Business Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.74 | (3.04) | 7.14 | |
| DEG | Detalion Games SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 4.84 | (8.42) | 24.52 | |
| ASE | Asseco South Eastern | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.01 | (2.39) | 6.67 | |
| MOV | Movie Games SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.65 | (2.96) | 13.92 | |
| ETFBM40TR | Beta mWIG40TR Portfelowy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.38 | (1.70) | 4.48 | |
| IGT | Igoria Trade SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.17 | (7.14) | 18.04 | |
| PCF | PCF Group SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.40) | 1.89 | (5.02) | 16.09 | |
| MIL | Bank Millennium SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.92 | (3.40) | 9.67 | |
| TXT | Text SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.55 | (3.31) | 19.70 |
Polski Koncern Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Polski price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Polski using various technical indicators. When you analyze Polski charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Polski Koncern Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Polski Koncern stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Polski Koncern Naftowy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Polski Koncern based on analysis of Polski Koncern hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Polski Koncern's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Polski Koncern's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Polski Koncern
The number of cover stories for Polski Koncern depends on current market conditions and Polski Koncern's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Polski Koncern is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Polski Koncern's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Polski Koncern Short Properties
Polski Koncern's future price predictability will typically decrease when Polski Koncern's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Polski Koncern Naftowy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Polski Koncern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Polski Koncern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 427.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 B |
Additional Tools for Polski Stock Analysis
When running Polski Koncern's price analysis, check to measure Polski Koncern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Polski Koncern is operating at the current time. Most of Polski Koncern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Polski Koncern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Polski Koncern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Polski Koncern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.