Pinnacle West Capital Stock Price Prediction
| PNW Stock | USD 92.88 0.05 0.05% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.33) | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.0822 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.5654 | Wall Street Target Price 91.9286 |
Using Pinnacle West hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pinnacle West Capital from the perspective of Pinnacle West response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Pinnacle West Capital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Pinnacle West's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pinnacle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pinnacle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pinnacle West Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pinnacle West's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pinnacle West.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pinnacle West to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pinnacle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Pinnacle West after-hype prediction price | USD 93.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pinnacle |
Pinnacle West After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pinnacle West at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pinnacle West or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pinnacle West, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Pinnacle West Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pinnacle West's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pinnacle West's historical news coverage. Pinnacle West's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 92.06 and 94.28, respectively. We have considered Pinnacle West's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pinnacle West is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pinnacle West Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pinnacle West Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pinnacle West is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pinnacle West backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pinnacle West, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.11 | 0.29 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
92.88 | 93.17 | 0.31 |
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Pinnacle West Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Pinnacle West Capital is traded for 92.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Pinnacle is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 93.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 50.23%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Pinnacle West is about 174.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 92.96. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.7 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 518.78 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.71 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Pinnacle West Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Pinnacle West Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pinnacle West's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pinnacle West's future price movements. Getting to know how Pinnacle West's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pinnacle West may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.53 | 10 per month | 0.99 | (0.07) | 1.34 | (1.88) | 3.94 | |
| AEE | Ameren Corp | 3.11 | 11 per month | 0.63 | 0.08 | 1.91 | (1.39) | 6.03 | |
| MGEE | MGE Energy | 0.48 | 8 per month | 0.83 | 0.12 | 2.95 | (1.77) | 9.44 | |
| EVRG | Evergy, | 0.31 | 10 per month | 0.65 | 0.04 | 1.53 | (1.22) | 3.30 | |
| DTE | DTE Energy | 0.97 | 9 per month | 1.38 | (0.09) | 1.44 | (2.13) | 5.21 | |
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | (0.49) | 10 per month | 1.03 | 0.02 | 2.04 | (1.89) | 5.81 | |
| CNP | CenterPoint Energy | 0.99 | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.12 | 1.80 | (1.74) | 5.92 | |
| FE | FirstEnergy | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.13 | (1.48) | 3.72 | |
| EIX | Edison International | 0.30 | 9 per month | 0.97 | (0.08) | 1.77 | (1.59) | 3.77 | |
| PEG | Public Service Enterprise | 1.08 | 7 per month | 1.44 | 0.06 | 2.31 | (2.23) | 10.21 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | 1.72 | 8 per month | 0.40 | 0.12 | 2.29 | (1.08) | 4.12 | |
| POR | Portland General Electric | (0.69) | 9 per month | 0.98 | (0.10) | 1.54 | (1.60) | 5.04 | |
| AGR | Avangrid | (0.03) | 11 per month | 0.09 | (0.48) | 0.42 | (0.36) | 0.98 |
Pinnacle West Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pinnacle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pinnacle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pinnacle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Pinnacle West Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Pinnacle West stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pinnacle West Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pinnacle West based on analysis of Pinnacle West hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pinnacle West's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pinnacle West's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0464 | 0.044 | 0.0474 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.1 | 1.99 | 1.74 |
Story Coverage note for Pinnacle West
The number of cover stories for Pinnacle West depends on current market conditions and Pinnacle West's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pinnacle West is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pinnacle West's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pinnacle West Short Properties
Pinnacle West's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pinnacle West's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pinnacle West Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pinnacle West's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pinnacle West's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 M |
Additional Tools for Pinnacle Stock Analysis
When running Pinnacle West's price analysis, check to measure Pinnacle West's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pinnacle West is operating at the current time. Most of Pinnacle West's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pinnacle West's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pinnacle West's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pinnacle West to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.