Primo Water Corp Stock Price Prediction
| PRMW Stock | USD 28.32 3.64 14.75% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.157 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.31 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9649 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.1001 | Wall Street Target Price 27 |
Using Primo Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Primo Water Corp from the perspective of Primo Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Primo Water to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Primo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Primo Water after-hype prediction price | USD 24.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Primo |
Primo Water After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Primo Water at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Primo Water or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Primo Water, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Primo Water Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Primo Water's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Primo Water's historical news coverage. Primo Water's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.21 and 25.99, respectively. We have considered Primo Water's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Primo Water is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Primo Water Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Primo Water Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Primo Water is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Primo Water backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Primo Water, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.89 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.32 | 24.10 | 0.45 |
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Primo Water Hype Timeline
Primo Water Corp is at this time traded for 28.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Primo is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Primo Water is about 1294.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.28. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Primo Water was at this time reported as 9.25. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.54. Primo Water Corp last dividend was issued on the 5th of November 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 26th of July 1993. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.Primo Water Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Primo Water's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Primo Water's future price movements. Getting to know how Primo Water's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Primo Water may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AKO-A | Embotelladora Andina SA | 0.13 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.18 | (5.01) | 20.10 | |
| AQPW | Signet International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FIZZ | National Beverage Corp | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.08 | (0.04) | 2.13 | (1.89) | 6.35 | |
| ASII | PT Astra International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 14.27 | 0.03 | 50.00 | (28.57) | 119.44 | |
| COCO | Vita Coco | 0.13 | 11 per month | 1.50 | 0.21 | 3.72 | (3.13) | 11.39 | |
| KOF | Coca Cola Femsa SAB | (1.43) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.21 | (2.27) | 5.30 | |
| CCEP | Coca Cola European Partners | 0.56 | 11 per month | 1.10 | (0.07) | 1.62 | (1.75) | 4.77 | |
| AKO-B | Embotelladora Andina SA | (0.85) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.66 | (3.04) | 9.61 | |
| APRU | Apple Rush | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.59 | (0) | 18.75 | (14.29) | 48.03 | |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | 0.01 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.46 | (2.08) | 6.67 |
Primo Water Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Primo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Primo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Primo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Primo Water Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Primo Water stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Primo Water Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Primo Water based on analysis of Primo Water hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Primo Water's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Primo Water's related companies. | 2016 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0199 | 0.0175 | 0.0157 | 0.0142 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.49 | 1.13 | 1.3 | 0.85 |
Story Coverage note for Primo Water
The number of cover stories for Primo Water depends on current market conditions and Primo Water's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Primo Water is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Primo Water's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Primo Water Short Properties
Primo Water's future price predictability will typically decrease when Primo Water's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Primo Water Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Primo Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Primo Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 507.9 M |
Additional Tools for Primo Stock Analysis
When running Primo Water's price analysis, check to measure Primo Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Primo Water is operating at the current time. Most of Primo Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Primo Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Primo Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Primo Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.