Pricesmart Stock Price Prediction
| PSMT Stock | USD 90.92 0.96 1.07% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.927 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.64 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.82 | Wall Street Target Price 93.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.03 |
Using PriceSmart hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PriceSmart from the perspective of PriceSmart response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PriceSmart to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PriceSmart because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PriceSmart after-hype prediction price | USD 90.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PriceSmart |
PriceSmart After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PriceSmart at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PriceSmart or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PriceSmart, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PriceSmart Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PriceSmart's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PriceSmart's historical news coverage. PriceSmart's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 89.24 and 92.66, respectively. We have considered PriceSmart's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PriceSmart is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PriceSmart is based on 3 months time horizon.
PriceSmart Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PriceSmart is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PriceSmart backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PriceSmart, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.71 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
90.92 | 90.95 | 0.03 |
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PriceSmart Hype Timeline
PriceSmart is at this time traded for 90.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. PriceSmart is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 90.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 117.93%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on PriceSmart is about 252.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 90.95. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.91 B. Net Income was 138.88 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 681.15 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out PriceSmart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PriceSmart Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PriceSmart's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PriceSmart's future price movements. Getting to know how PriceSmart's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PriceSmart may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WMMVY | Wal Mart de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.08 | (2.85) | 10.62 | |
| DQJCY | Pan Pacific International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.61 | (2.10) | 10.03 | |
| DLMAF | Dollarama | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | (0.01) | 2.42 | (2.16) | 9.62 | |
| DG | Dollar General | (1.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.69 | (3.31) | 32.77 | |
| BIG | Big Lots | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 21.35 | (16.67) | 103.00 | |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | 2.72 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.63 | (3.83) | 22.16 | |
| BJ | BJs Wholesale Club | 0.33 | 11 per month | 1.00 | 0.08 | 2.56 | (1.70) | 5.52 | |
| WMT | Walmart | (0.28) | 8 per month | 0.71 | 0.14 | 1.69 | (1.27) | 4.33 | |
| TGT | Target | 3.26 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.34 | (2.45) | 24.32 | |
| BMRPF | BM European Value | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.13 | (7.54) | 20.15 | |
| OLLI | Ollies Bargain Outlet | 2.49 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.64 | (2.73) | 11.93 |
PriceSmart Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PriceSmart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PriceSmart using various technical indicators. When you analyze PriceSmart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PriceSmart Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PriceSmart stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PriceSmart, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PriceSmart based on analysis of PriceSmart hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PriceSmart's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PriceSmart's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0137 | 0.0117 | 0.0133 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.48 | 0.55 | 0.97 |
Story Coverage note for PriceSmart
The number of cover stories for PriceSmart depends on current market conditions and PriceSmart's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PriceSmart is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PriceSmart's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PriceSmart Short Properties
PriceSmart's future price predictability will typically decrease when PriceSmart's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PriceSmart often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PriceSmart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PriceSmart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 225.5 M |
Additional Tools for PriceSmart Stock Analysis
When running PriceSmart's price analysis, check to measure PriceSmart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PriceSmart is operating at the current time. Most of PriceSmart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PriceSmart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PriceSmart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PriceSmart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.