Propetro Holding Corp Stock Price Patterns
| PUMP Stock | USD 11.83 0.34 2.96% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.15) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.21) | Wall Street Target Price 13.625 |
Using ProPetro Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ProPetro Holding Corp from the perspective of ProPetro Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ProPetro Holding using ProPetro Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ProPetro using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ProPetro Holding's stock price.
ProPetro Holding Short Interest
An investor who is long ProPetro Holding may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ProPetro Holding and may potentially protect profits, hedge ProPetro Holding with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.9997 | Short Percent 0.2065 | Short Ratio 6.31 | Shares Short Prior Month 11.1 M | 50 Day MA 10.0354 |
ProPetro Holding Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ProPetro Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ProPetro. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ProPetro can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ProPetro Holding Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ProPetro Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ProPetro Holding.
ProPetro Holding Implied Volatility | 1.26 |
ProPetro Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ProPetro Holding Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ProPetro Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ProPetro Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when ProPetro Holding's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ProPetro Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ProPetro because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ProPetro Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 11.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ProPetro contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ProPetro Holding Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0788% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ProPetro Holding trading at USD 11.83, that is roughly USD 0.009316 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ProPetro Holding's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ProPetro Holding Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out ProPetro Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. ProPetro Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ProPetro Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ProPetro Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ProPetro Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ProPetro Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ProPetro Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ProPetro Holding's historical news coverage. ProPetro Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.45 and 14.99, respectively. We have considered ProPetro Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ProPetro Holding is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProPetro Holding Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
ProPetro Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ProPetro Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ProPetro Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ProPetro Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 3.27 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.83 | 11.72 | 0.93 |
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ProPetro Holding Hype Timeline
ProPetro Holding Corp is at this time traded for 11.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. ProPetro is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.93%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on ProPetro Holding is about 2352.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.87. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.69. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. ProPetro Holding Corp recorded a loss per share of 0.17. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out ProPetro Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ProPetro Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ProPetro Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ProPetro Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how ProPetro Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ProPetro Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RES | RPC Inc | (0.16) | 9 per month | 1.77 | 0.17 | 5.14 | (2.96) | 18.92 | |
| NPKI | NPK International | (0.13) | 7 per month | 2.35 | 0.03 | 3.96 | (3.24) | 12.44 | |
| NESR | National Energy Services | (0.15) | 8 per month | 1.79 | 0.24 | 7.21 | (3.09) | 22.01 | |
| ACDC | ProFrac Holding Corp | (0.06) | 9 per month | 5.10 | 0.08 | 8.98 | (7.14) | 44.42 | |
| MRC | MRC Global | 0.34 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.27 | (4.18) | 11.50 | |
| VTOL | Bristow Group | 1.63 | 8 per month | 2.13 | 0.08 | 3.40 | (3.37) | 11.04 | |
| HLX | Helix Energy Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.44 | 0.11 | 4.72 | (4.04) | 12.24 | |
| NVGS | Navigator Holdings | (0.06) | 12 per month | 0.84 | 0.11 | 2.82 | (1.42) | 7.71 | |
| DMLP | Dorchester Minerals LP | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.53 | (0.02) | 3.20 | (2.60) | 6.56 | |
| TTI | Tetra Technologies | 0.13 | 4 per month | 2.77 | 0.19 | 5.99 | (4.75) | 16.00 |
ProPetro Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ProPetro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ProPetro using various technical indicators. When you analyze ProPetro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ProPetro Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ProPetro Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ProPetro Holding Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ProPetro Holding based on analysis of ProPetro Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ProPetro Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ProPetro Holding's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 53.06 | 49.53 | 56.96 | 62.27 | PTB Ratio | 0.95 | 1.19 | 1.37 | 1.3 |
Pair Trading with ProPetro Holding
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ProPetro Holding position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProPetro Holding will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with ProPetro Stock
| 0.64 | NPKI | NPK International Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ProPetro Holding could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ProPetro Holding when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ProPetro Holding - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ProPetro Holding Corp to buy it.
The correlation of ProPetro Holding is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ProPetro Holding moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ProPetro Holding Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ProPetro Holding can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for ProPetro Stock Analysis
When running ProPetro Holding's price analysis, check to measure ProPetro Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ProPetro Holding is operating at the current time. Most of ProPetro Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ProPetro Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ProPetro Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ProPetro Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.