Qantas Airways (Germany) Price Prediction

QAN Stock  EUR 5.53  0.03  0.55%   
The value of RSI of Qantas Airways' share price is above 70 as of 24th of November 2024 indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Qantas, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

72

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Qantas Airways' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Qantas Airways and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Qantas Airways' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Qantas Airways Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Qantas Airways hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Qantas Airways Limited from the perspective of Qantas Airways response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Qantas Airways to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Qantas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Qantas Airways after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 5.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Qantas Airways Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.385.136.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.695.447.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.485.515.54
Details

Qantas Airways After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Qantas Airways at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Qantas Airways or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Qantas Airways, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Qantas Airways Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Qantas Airways' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Qantas Airways' historical news coverage. Qantas Airways' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.75 and 7.25, respectively. We have considered Qantas Airways' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.53
5.50
After-hype Price
7.25
Upside
Qantas Airways is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Qantas Airways is based on 3 months time horizon.

Qantas Airways Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Qantas Airways is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Qantas Airways backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Qantas Airways, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.56 
1.75
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.53
5.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Qantas Airways Hype Timeline

Qantas Airways is at this time traded for 5.53on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Qantas is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.56%. %. The volatility of related hype on Qantas Airways is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.53. About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2020. Qantas Airways had 0:1 split on the 27th of October 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Qantas Airways Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Qantas Airways Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Qantas Airways' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Qantas Airways' future price movements. Getting to know how Qantas Airways' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Qantas Airways may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Qantas Airways Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Qantas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Qantas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Qantas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Qantas Airways Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Qantas Airways stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Qantas Airways Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Qantas Airways based on analysis of Qantas Airways hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Qantas Airways's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Qantas Airways's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Qantas Airways

The number of cover stories for Qantas Airways depends on current market conditions and Qantas Airways' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Qantas Airways is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Qantas Airways' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Qantas Airways Short Properties

Qantas Airways' future price predictability will typically decrease when Qantas Airways' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Qantas Airways Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Qantas Airways' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qantas Airways' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B

Complementary Tools for Qantas Stock analysis

When running Qantas Airways' price analysis, check to measure Qantas Airways' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qantas Airways is operating at the current time. Most of Qantas Airways' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qantas Airways' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qantas Airways' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qantas Airways to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio