Research Frontiers Incorporated Stock Price Patterns
| REFR Stock | USD 1.16 0.02 1.75% |
Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
Using Research Frontiers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Research Frontiers Incorporated from the perspective of Research Frontiers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Research Frontiers using Research Frontiers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Research using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Research Frontiers' stock price.
Research Frontiers Implied Volatility | 3.77 |
Research Frontiers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Research Frontiers Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Research Frontiers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Research Frontiers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Research Frontiers' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Research Frontiers to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Research because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Research Frontiers after-hype prediction price | USD 1.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Research Frontiers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Research Frontiers After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Research Frontiers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Research Frontiers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Research Frontiers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Research Frontiers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Research Frontiers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Research Frontiers' historical news coverage. Research Frontiers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.12, respectively. We have considered Research Frontiers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Research Frontiers is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Research Frontiers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Research Frontiers Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Research Frontiers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Research Frontiers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Research Frontiers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 3.93 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.16 | 1.15 | 0.86 |
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Research Frontiers Hype Timeline
Research Frontiers is at this time traded for 1.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Research is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.86%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Research Frontiers is about 32750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.15. About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.06. Research Frontiers last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2010. The entity had 5:4 split on the 16th of February 1994. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Research Frontiers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Research Frontiers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Research Frontiers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Research Frontiers' future price movements. Getting to know how Research Frontiers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Research Frontiers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | 0.08 | 0.93 | (1.09) | 12.28 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.57 | (0.49) | 3.30 | |
| ORMP | Oramed Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 9 per month | 1.90 | 0.19 | 6.98 | (3.49) | 17.67 | |
| GSFP | Goldman Sachs | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.33 | 0.20 | 1.27 | (1.10) | 3.10 | |
| VTARX | Virtus Dfa 2040 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.86 | (0.83) | 17.94 | |
| MCTA | Charming Medical Limited | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 6.97 | (2.09) | 60.38 | |
| GBDC | Golub Capital BDC | 0.03 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.37 | (1.82) | 4.99 | |
| GSBD | Goldman Sachs BDC | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.73 | (1.93) | 4.38 | |
| BCSF | Bain Capital Specialty | (0.34) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.93 | (2.13) | 6.32 | |
| BGAFX | Baron Global Advantage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.0005 | 1.75 | (2.41) | 12.37 |
Research Frontiers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Research price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Research using various technical indicators. When you analyze Research charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Research Frontiers Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Research Frontiers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Research Frontiers Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Research Frontiers based on analysis of Research Frontiers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Research Frontiers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Research Frontiers's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 402.64 | 179.89 | 161.9 | 164.94 | PTB Ratio | 9.61 | 22.01 | 19.81 | 10.62 |
Pair Trading with Research Frontiers
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Research Frontiers position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Research Frontiers will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Research Stock
Moving against Research Stock
| 0.75 | WNC | Wabash National Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | JNJ | Johnson Johnson | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | ARW | Arrow Electronics Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | GLW | Corning Incorporated | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | CYCC | Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Symbol Change | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Research Frontiers could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Research Frontiers when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Research Frontiers - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Research Frontiers Incorporated to buy it.
The correlation of Research Frontiers is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Research Frontiers moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Research Frontiers moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Research Frontiers can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Research Stock Analysis
When running Research Frontiers' price analysis, check to measure Research Frontiers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Research Frontiers is operating at the current time. Most of Research Frontiers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Research Frontiers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Research Frontiers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Research Frontiers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.