Rgc Resources Stock Price Prediction
| RGCO Stock | USD 21.37 1.15 5.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.22 | Wall Street Target Price 27 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 |
Using RGC Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RGC Resources from the perspective of RGC Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in RGC Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying RGC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
RGC Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 21.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
RGC |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RGC Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
RGC Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RGC Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RGC Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RGC Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RGC Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RGC Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RGC Resources' historical news coverage. RGC Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.44 and 24.30, respectively. We have considered RGC Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RGC Resources is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RGC Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
RGC Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RGC Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RGC Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RGC Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 2.93 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.37 | 21.37 | 0.00 |
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RGC Resources Hype Timeline
RGC Resources is at this time traded for 21.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. RGC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on RGC Resources is about 1172.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.35. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.91. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. RGC Resources last dividend was issued on the 18th of October 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 2nd of March 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out RGC Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.RGC Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RGC Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RGC Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how RGC Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RGC Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UGIC | UGI Corp Unit | (0.86) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.61 | (3.02) | 12.21 | |
| NJR | NewJersey Resources | (0.12) | 10 per month | 0.60 | 0.05 | 2.17 | (1.26) | 4.00 | |
| OGS | One Gas | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.75 | 0.09 | 1.92 | (1.66) | 7.47 | |
| NIMC | NiSource Unit | 0.44 | 3 per month | 0.78 | (0.13) | 1.07 | (1.11) | 5.53 | |
| NWN | Northwest Natural Gas | (0.34) | 9 per month | 0.94 | 0.05 | 2.15 | (1.64) | 6.23 | |
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities | (2.71) | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.07 | 2.09 | (1.91) | 6.25 | |
| SR | Spire Inc | 1.31 | 10 per month | 1.12 | 0.03 | 2.30 | (1.85) | 6.47 | |
| NI | NiSource | 0.30 | 11 per month | 0.53 | 0.16 | 1.54 | (1.23) | 3.98 |
RGC Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RGC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RGC using various technical indicators. When you analyze RGC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About RGC Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of RGC Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as RGC Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of RGC Resources based on analysis of RGC Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to RGC Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to RGC Resources's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0365 | 0.0455 | 0.0523 | 0.0563 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.28 | 1.76 | 1.59 | 0.98 |
Story Coverage note for RGC Resources
The number of cover stories for RGC Resources depends on current market conditions and RGC Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RGC Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RGC Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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RGC Resources Short Properties
RGC Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when RGC Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RGC Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RGC Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RGC Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Check out RGC Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in RGC Stock, please use our How to Invest in RGC Resources guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Gas Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RGC Resources. If investors know RGC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RGC Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | Earnings Share 1.16 | Revenue Per Share 8.337 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 | Return On Assets 0.0342 |
The market value of RGC Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RGC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RGC Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RGC Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RGC Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RGC Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RGC Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RGC Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RGC Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.