Rci Hospitality Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| RICK Stock | USD 53.21 1.53 2.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
72
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.73 | Wall Street Target Price 98 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.82 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using RCI Hospitality hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RCI Hospitality Holdings from the perspective of RCI Hospitality response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in RCI Hospitality to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying RCI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
RCI Hospitality after-hype prediction price | USD 53.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
RCI |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RCI Hospitality's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
RCI Hospitality After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RCI Hospitality at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RCI Hospitality or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RCI Hospitality, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RCI Hospitality Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RCI Hospitality's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RCI Hospitality's historical news coverage. RCI Hospitality's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.80 and 55.42, respectively. We have considered RCI Hospitality's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RCI Hospitality is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RCI Hospitality Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
RCI Hospitality Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RCI Hospitality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RCI Hospitality backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RCI Hospitality, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.35 | 0.13 | 0.48 | 6 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
53.21 | 53.11 | 0.19 |
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RCI Hospitality Hype Timeline
RCI Hospitality Holdings is at this time traded for 53.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.48. RCI is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 53.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on RCI Hospitality is about 121.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.69. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.71. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. RCI Hospitality Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.79. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of September 2024. The firm had 1:2 split on the 16th of March 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out RCI Hospitality Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.RCI Hospitality Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RCI Hospitality's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RCI Hospitality's future price movements. Getting to know how RCI Hospitality's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RCI Hospitality may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
RCI Hospitality Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RCI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RCI using various technical indicators. When you analyze RCI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About RCI Hospitality Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of RCI Hospitality stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as RCI Hospitality Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of RCI Hospitality based on analysis of RCI Hospitality hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to RCI Hospitality's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to RCI Hospitality's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00291 | 0.003789 | 0.005308 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.29 | 1.93 | 1.06 |
Story Coverage note for RCI Hospitality
The number of cover stories for RCI Hospitality depends on current market conditions and RCI Hospitality's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RCI Hospitality is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RCI Hospitality's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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RCI Hospitality Short Properties
RCI Hospitality's future price predictability will typically decrease when RCI Hospitality's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RCI Hospitality Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RCI Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RCI Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21 M |
Check out RCI Hospitality Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RCI Hospitality. If investors know RCI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RCI Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | Dividend Share 0.23 | Earnings Share 0.52 | Revenue Per Share 31.818 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of RCI Hospitality Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RCI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RCI Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RCI Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RCI Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RCI Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RCI Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RCI Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RCI Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.