Hoya Capital High Etf Price Patterns
| RIET Etf | USD 9.47 0.02 0.21% |
Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hoya Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hoya Capital High from the perspective of Hoya Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hoya Capital using Hoya Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hoya using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hoya Capital's stock price.
Hoya Capital Implied Volatility | 1.33 |
Hoya Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hoya Capital High stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hoya Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hoya Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hoya Capital's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hoya Capital to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hoya because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hoya Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 9.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hoya contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hoya Capital High will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0831% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Hoya Capital trading at USD 9.47, that is roughly USD 0.007872 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hoya Capital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hoya Capital High options at the current volatility level of 1.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Hoya Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hoya Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hoya Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hoya Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hoya Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Hoya Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hoya Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hoya Capital's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hoya Capital's historical news coverage. Hoya Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.75 and 10.29, respectively. We have considered Hoya Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hoya Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hoya Capital High is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hoya Capital Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Hoya Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hoya Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hoya Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.47 | 9.52 | 0.00 |
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Hoya Capital Hype Timeline
Hoya Capital High is at this time traded for 9.47. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Hoya is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hoya Capital is about 418.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.49. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Hoya Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hoya Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hoya Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hoya Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Hoya Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hoya Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IFGL | iShares International Developed | 0.03 | 2 per month | 0.61 | 0.04 | 0.98 | (1.17) | 2.66 | |
| AFMC | First Trust Active | (0.20) | 4 per month | 0.75 | 0.04 | 1.75 | (1.55) | 3.90 | |
| BUL | Pacer Cash Cows | 0.12 | 4 per month | 0.91 | 0.01 | 1.66 | (1.73) | 3.87 | |
| BKF | iShares MSCI BIC | 0.05 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.17 | (1.26) | 3.92 | |
| AGEM | abrdn Emerging Markets | 1.21 | 1 per month | 0.66 | 0.11 | 1.56 | (1.23) | 3.39 | |
| INCE | Franklin Income Equity | 0.16 | 12 per month | 0.20 | 0.16 | 0.98 | (0.77) | 2.18 | |
| XC | WisdomTree Emerging Markets | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.51 | 0.05 | 1.07 | (0.84) | 2.02 | |
| CIL | VictoryShares International Volatility | 0.16 | 3 per month | 0.43 | 0.13 | 1.02 | (0.94) | 2.46 | |
| LSAT | Two Roads Shared | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.26 | (1.22) | 3.68 | |
| EEMX | SPDR MSCI Emerging | 0.31 | 3 per month | 0.66 | 0.07 | 1.63 | (1.19) | 3.44 |
Hoya Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hoya price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hoya using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hoya charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hoya Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hoya Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hoya Capital High, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hoya Capital based on analysis of Hoya Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hoya Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hoya Capital's related companies.
Thematic Opportunities
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Check out Hoya Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Investors evaluate Hoya Capital High using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Hoya Capital's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Hoya Capital's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Hoya Capital's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Hoya Capital should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Hoya Capital's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.