Rumbleon Stock Price Prediction
| RMBL Stock | USD 6.08 0.13 2.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.21) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.72) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.02) | Wall Street Target Price 6.88 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.09) |
Using RumbleON hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RumbleON from the perspective of RumbleON response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards RumbleON using RumbleON's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards RumbleON using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of RumbleON's stock price.
RumbleON Implied Volatility | 1.77 |
RumbleON's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RumbleON stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RumbleON's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RumbleON stock will not fluctuate a lot when RumbleON's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in RumbleON to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying RumbleON because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
RumbleON after-hype prediction price | USD 5.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
RumbleON |
RumbleON After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RumbleON at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RumbleON or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RumbleON, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RumbleON Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RumbleON's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RumbleON's historical news coverage. RumbleON's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.93 and 10.73, respectively. We have considered RumbleON's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RumbleON is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RumbleON is based on 3 months time horizon.
RumbleON Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RumbleON is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RumbleON backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RumbleON, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 4.90 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 7 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.08 | 5.83 | 4.11 |
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RumbleON Hype Timeline
RumbleON is at this time traded for 6.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. RumbleON is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.83. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on RumbleON is about 1119.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.29. About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of RumbleON was at this time reported as 3.01. The company recorded a loss per share of 10.58. RumbleON last dividend was issued on the 20th of May 2020. The entity had 1:20 split on the 20th of May 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out RumbleON Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.RumbleON Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RumbleON's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RumbleON's future price movements. Getting to know how RumbleON's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RumbleON may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | 0.55 | 10 per month | 1.50 | 0.05 | 3.60 | (2.70) | 11.29 | |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | (0.84) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.50 | (2.44) | 6.98 | |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | (0.83) | 12 per month | 1.54 | 0.15 | 4.90 | (3.18) | 13.35 | |
| AN | AutoNation | (1.94) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.73 | (3.00) | 8.95 | |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | 9.60 | 11 per month | 1.70 | 0.03 | 4.06 | (2.67) | 9.76 | |
| CARG | CarGurus | (2.94) | 9 per month | 1.33 | 0.14 | 3.59 | (2.48) | 7.36 | |
| KAR | KAR Auction Services | 0.23 | 8 per month | 1.35 | 0.05 | 2.62 | (2.01) | 13.95 | |
| KFS | Kingsway Financial Services | (0.22) | 11 per month | 1.38 | 0.05 | 2.89 | (2.51) | 10.73 | |
| DRVN | Driven Brands Holdings | (0.11) | 11 per month | 1.82 | 0.05 | 3.50 | (2.89) | 10.30 | |
| SAH | Sonic Automotive | 0.1 | 7 per month | 1.85 | (0.01) | 3.59 | (3.31) | 13.17 | |
| RUSHB | Rush Enterprises B | 0.90 | 8 per month | 1.65 | 0.08 | 3.93 | (2.78) | 14.10 | |
| CARS | Cars Inc | 0.25 | 8 per month | 1.80 | (0) | 4.67 | (2.75) | 10.81 | |
| RUSHA | Rush Enterprises A | 0.94 | 10 per month | 1.53 | 0.05 | 3.70 | (2.61) | 11.16 |
RumbleON Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RumbleON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RumbleON using various technical indicators. When you analyze RumbleON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About RumbleON Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of RumbleON stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as RumbleON, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of RumbleON based on analysis of RumbleON hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to RumbleON's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to RumbleON's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 77.44 | 97.86 | 141.76 | 148.85 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 94.79 | 90.31 | 126.02 | 100.2 |
Story Coverage note for RumbleON
The number of cover stories for RumbleON depends on current market conditions and RumbleON's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RumbleON is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RumbleON's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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RumbleON Short Properties
RumbleON's future price predictability will typically decrease when RumbleON's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RumbleON often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RumbleON's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RumbleON's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.9 M |
Check out RumbleON Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy RumbleON Stock please use our How to buy in RumbleON Stock guide.You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RumbleON. If investors know RumbleON will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RumbleON listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (10.58) | Revenue Per Share 47.649 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets 0.0047 | Return On Equity (1.42) |
The market value of RumbleON is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RumbleON that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RumbleON's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RumbleON's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RumbleON's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RumbleON's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RumbleON's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RumbleON is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RumbleON's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.