Securitas (Germany) Price Prediction

S7MB Stock  EUR 12.02  0.05  0.42%   
The value of RSI of Securitas' share price is above 70 as of 28th of December 2024. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Securitas, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

74

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Securitas' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Securitas and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Securitas' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Securitas AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Securitas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Securitas AB from the perspective of Securitas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Securitas to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Securitas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Securitas after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 12.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Securitas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2913.3416.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Securitas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Securitas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Securitas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Securitas AB.

Securitas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Securitas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Securitas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Securitas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Securitas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Securitas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Securitas' historical news coverage. Securitas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.97 and 15.07, respectively. We have considered Securitas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.02
12.02
After-hype Price
15.07
Upside
Securitas is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Securitas AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

Securitas Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Securitas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Securitas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Securitas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
3.05
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.02
12.02
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Securitas Hype Timeline

Securitas AB is at this time traded for 12.02on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Securitas is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on Securitas is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.02. About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.82. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Securitas AB has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.72. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of May 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be within a week.
Check out Securitas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Securitas Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Securitas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Securitas' future price movements. Getting to know how Securitas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Securitas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Securitas Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Securitas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Securitas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Securitas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Securitas Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Securitas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Securitas AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Securitas based on analysis of Securitas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Securitas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Securitas's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Securitas

The number of cover stories for Securitas depends on current market conditions and Securitas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Securitas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Securitas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Securitas Short Properties

Securitas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Securitas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Securitas AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Securitas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Securitas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding381.7 M

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When running Securitas' price analysis, check to measure Securitas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Securitas is operating at the current time. Most of Securitas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Securitas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Securitas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Securitas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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