Spirit Airlines Stock Price Prediction
| SAVE Stock | USD 0.13 0.02 13.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.20) | EPS Estimate Current Year (6.51) | EPS Estimate Next Year (4.32) | Wall Street Target Price 1.5 |
Using Spirit Airlines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spirit Airlines from the perspective of Spirit Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Spirit Airlines Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Spirit Airlines' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Spirit. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Spirit can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Spirit Airlines. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Spirit Airlines' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Spirit Airlines.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Spirit Airlines to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Spirit because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Spirit Airlines after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0874 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Spirit |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Spirit Airlines' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Spirit Airlines After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spirit Airlines at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spirit Airlines or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spirit Airlines, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spirit Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spirit Airlines' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spirit Airlines' historical news coverage. Spirit Airlines' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 17.58, respectively. We have considered Spirit Airlines' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spirit Airlines is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spirit Airlines is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spirit Airlines Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spirit Airlines is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spirit Airlines backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spirit Airlines, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.00 | 17.62 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.13 | 0.09 | 32.79 |
|
Spirit Airlines Hype Timeline
Spirit Airlines is at this time traded for 0.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.35. Spirit is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.0874. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -32.79%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -2.0%. The volatility of related hype on Spirit Airlines is about 10068.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.22. About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.02. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Spirit Airlines recorded a loss per share of 6.2. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of February 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Spirit Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Spirit Airlines Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spirit Airlines' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spirit Airlines' future price movements. Getting to know how Spirit Airlines' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spirit Airlines may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AAL | American Airlines Group | (0.04) | 9 per month | 1.51 | 0.19 | 6.14 | (2.77) | 11.24 | |
| DAL | Delta Air Lines | 0.20 | 6 per month | 0.87 | 0.29 | 4.11 | (2.12) | 9.95 | |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines | 0.41 | 9 per month | 1.60 | 0.11 | 3.18 | (2.65) | 10.99 | |
| UAL | United Airlines Holdings | (0.41) | 8 per month | 0.54 | 0.42 | 6.47 | (1.92) | 16.43 | |
| SNCY | Sun Country Airlines | 0.01 | 7 per month | 2.59 | 0.15 | 8.41 | (4.50) | 16.71 | |
| JBLU | JetBlue Airways Corp | 0.29 | 9 per month | 4.04 | 0.08 | 7.53 | (6.73) | 31.32 | |
| HA | Hawaiian Holdings | (0.03) | 7 per month | 2.67 | 0.12 | 6.96 | (4.90) | 18.66 | |
| ALGT | Allegiant Travel | (1.83) | 11 per month | 2.23 | 0.26 | 6.31 | (4.49) | 16.10 |
Spirit Airlines Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spirit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spirit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spirit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Spirit Airlines Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Spirit Airlines stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Spirit Airlines, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Spirit Airlines based on analysis of Spirit Airlines hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Spirit Airlines's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Spirit Airlines's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0237 | 0.021 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.33 | 0.32 |
Story Coverage note for Spirit Airlines
The number of cover stories for Spirit Airlines depends on current market conditions and Spirit Airlines' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spirit Airlines is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spirit Airlines' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Spirit Airlines Short Properties
Spirit Airlines' future price predictability will typically decrease when Spirit Airlines' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spirit Airlines often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spirit Airlines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spirit Airlines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 977.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Spirit Stock analysis
When running Spirit Airlines' price analysis, check to measure Spirit Airlines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spirit Airlines is operating at the current time. Most of Spirit Airlines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spirit Airlines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spirit Airlines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spirit Airlines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data |