Scilex Holding Stock Price Prediction
| SCLX Stock | 0.52 0.03 5.45% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.19) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.50) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.40) | Wall Street Target Price 7.625 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.21) |
Using Scilex Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scilex Holding from the perspective of Scilex Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Scilex Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Scilex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Scilex Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 0.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Scilex |
Scilex Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Scilex Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Scilex Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Scilex Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Scilex Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Scilex Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Scilex Holding's historical news coverage. Scilex Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 6.73, respectively. We have considered Scilex Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Scilex Holding is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Scilex Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Scilex Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Scilex Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Scilex Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Scilex Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.01 | 6.17 | 0.04 | 4.31 | 10 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.52 | 0.56 | 7.69 |
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Scilex Holding Hype Timeline
Scilex Holding is at this time traded for 0.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -4.31. Scilex is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.56 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 7.69%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.01%. The volatility of related hype on Scilex Holding is about 144.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -3.79. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (2.34) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.95) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.95. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Scilex Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Scilex Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Scilex Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Scilex Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Scilex Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Scilex Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AZN | AstraZeneca PLC ADR | (0.58) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 1.28 | (3.18) | 8.50 | |
| HZNP | Horizon Pharma PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.13 | (0.87) | 16.07 | |
| GILD | Gilead Sciences | (3.50) | 8 per month | 1.00 | 0.11 | 2.17 | (1.82) | 10.80 | |
| BMY | Bristol Myers Squibb | (1.94) | 8 per month | 1.23 | 0.09 | 2.23 | (2.07) | 14.39 | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc | (7.83) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.67 | (1.90) | 9.43 | |
| LLY | Eli Lilly and | (28.99) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.35 | (3.55) | 9.21 | |
| ABBV | AbbVie Inc | 0.66 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.56 | (2.11) | 18.93 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | (1.61) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 1.73 | (2.13) | 4.89 | |
| BIIB | Biogen Inc | (5.47) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 1.95 | (2.60) | 6.36 | |
| SNY | Sanofi ADR | (1.78) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.74 | (1.85) | 7.81 | |
| NVS | Novartis AG ADR | (0.16) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 1.12 | (1.98) | 6.05 | |
| GSK | GlaxoSmithKline PLC ADR | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.89 | (2.56) | 8.87 |
Scilex Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Scilex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scilex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scilex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Scilex Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Scilex Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Scilex Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Scilex Holding based on analysis of Scilex Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Scilex Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Scilex Holding's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 0.85 | 1.28 | 0.38 | 0.55 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 257.33 | 46.58 | 98.09 | 164.03 |
Story Coverage note for Scilex Holding
The number of cover stories for Scilex Holding depends on current market conditions and Scilex Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Scilex Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Scilex Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Scilex Holding Short Properties
Scilex Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Scilex Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Scilex Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Scilex Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scilex Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.9 M |
Additional Tools for Scilex Stock Analysis
When running Scilex Holding's price analysis, check to measure Scilex Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Scilex Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Scilex Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Scilex Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Scilex Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Scilex Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.