Aegis Brands Stock Price Prediction
| SCUPF Stock | USD 0.21 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aegis Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aegis Brands from the perspective of Aegis Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aegis Brands to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aegis because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aegis Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 0.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aegis |
Aegis Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aegis Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aegis Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Aegis Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aegis Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aegis Brands' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aegis Brands' historical news coverage. Aegis Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 3.73, respectively. We have considered Aegis Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aegis Brands is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aegis Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aegis Brands Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aegis Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aegis Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aegis Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 3.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.21 | 0.21 | 0.00 |
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Aegis Brands Hype Timeline
Aegis Brands is at this time traded for 0.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aegis is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aegis Brands is about 79200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.21. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.26. Aegis Brands last dividend was issued on the 21st of May 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Aegis Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aegis Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aegis Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aegis Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Aegis Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aegis Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TBTC | Table Trac | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.59 | (6.86) | 27.88 | |
| GDDFF | Goodfood Market Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.10 | 0.05 | 10.00 | (10.00) | 34.72 | |
| USYNF | Unisync Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MRGO | Margo Caribe | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRRE | Blue Ridge Real | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33 | |
| JPOTF | Jackpot Digital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.28 | (8.64) | 31.56 | |
| BWTL | Bowlin Travel Centers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | (4.44) | 10.53 | |
| SKTP | Skytop Lodge | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.20 | |
| SNTW | Summit Networks | (0.04) | 3 per month | 15.27 | (0) | 28.21 | (32.43) | 153.54 |
Aegis Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aegis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aegis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aegis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aegis Brands Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aegis Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aegis Brands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aegis Brands based on analysis of Aegis Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aegis Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aegis Brands's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Aegis Brands
The number of cover stories for Aegis Brands depends on current market conditions and Aegis Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aegis Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aegis Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Aegis Pink Sheet analysis
When running Aegis Brands' price analysis, check to measure Aegis Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aegis Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Aegis Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aegis Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aegis Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aegis Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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