Summit Hotel (Germany) Price Prediction
| SDP Stock | EUR 6.20 0.05 0.80% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Summit Hotel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Summit Hotel Properties from the perspective of Summit Hotel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Summit Hotel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Summit because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Summit Hotel after-hype prediction price | EUR 6.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Summit |
Summit Hotel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Summit Hotel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Summit Hotel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Summit Hotel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Summit Hotel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Summit Hotel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Summit Hotel's historical news coverage. Summit Hotel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.06 and 8.34, respectively. We have considered Summit Hotel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Summit Hotel is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Summit Hotel Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Summit Hotel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Summit Hotel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Summit Hotel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Summit Hotel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.20 | 6.20 | 0.00 |
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Summit Hotel Hype Timeline
Summit Hotel Properties is at this time traded for 6.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Summit is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Summit Hotel is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.20. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Summit Hotel Properties recorded a loss per share of 0.18. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Summit Hotel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Summit Hotel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Summit Hotel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Summit Hotel's future price movements. Getting to know how Summit Hotel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Summit Hotel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HMT | Host Hotels Resorts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | 0.05 | 2.47 | (2.45) | 11.81 | |
| UF2 | Sunstone Hotel Investors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.03 | 3.03 | (2.63) | 9.25 | |
| 0XHR | Xenia Hotels Resorts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | 0.1 | 4.93 | (3.01) | 9.49 | |
| SDP | Summit Hotel Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | (0.01) | 3.51 | (2.56) | 11.59 | |
| AHD | ASHFORD HOSPITTRUST | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 4.77 | (5.66) | 25.67 |
Summit Hotel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Summit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Summit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Summit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Summit Hotel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Summit Hotel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Summit Hotel Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Summit Hotel based on analysis of Summit Hotel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Summit Hotel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Summit Hotel's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Summit Hotel
The number of cover stories for Summit Hotel depends on current market conditions and Summit Hotel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Summit Hotel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Summit Hotel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Summit Hotel Short Properties
Summit Hotel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Summit Hotel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Summit Hotel Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Summit Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Summit Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.9 M |
Complementary Tools for Summit Stock analysis
When running Summit Hotel's price analysis, check to measure Summit Hotel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Summit Hotel is operating at the current time. Most of Summit Hotel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Summit Hotel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Summit Hotel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Summit Hotel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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