SCHALTBAU HOLDING (Germany) Price Prediction

SLT Stock  EUR 58.50  0.50  0.86%   
As of now, the value of RSI of SCHALTBAU HOLDING's share price is approaching 47. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SCHALTBAU HOLDING, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SCHALTBAU HOLDING's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SCHALTBAU HOLDING and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SCHALTBAU HOLDING's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SCHALTBAU HOLDING, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SCHALTBAU HOLDING hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SCHALTBAU HOLDING from the perspective of SCHALTBAU HOLDING response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SCHALTBAU HOLDING to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SCHALTBAU because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SCHALTBAU HOLDING after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 58.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out SCHALTBAU HOLDING Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.3548.5164.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
57.4258.5959.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
57.3558.0558.75
Details

SCHALTBAU HOLDING After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SCHALTBAU HOLDING at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SCHALTBAU HOLDING or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SCHALTBAU HOLDING, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SCHALTBAU HOLDING Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SCHALTBAU HOLDING's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SCHALTBAU HOLDING's historical news coverage. SCHALTBAU HOLDING's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.34 and 59.66, respectively. We have considered SCHALTBAU HOLDING's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
58.50
58.50
After-hype Price
59.66
Upside
SCHALTBAU HOLDING is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SCHALTBAU HOLDING is based on 3 months time horizon.

SCHALTBAU HOLDING Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SCHALTBAU HOLDING is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SCHALTBAU HOLDING backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SCHALTBAU HOLDING, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.16
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
58.50
58.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

SCHALTBAU HOLDING Hype Timeline

SCHALTBAU HOLDING is at this time traded for 58.50on Hamburg Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SCHALTBAU is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on SCHALTBAU HOLDING is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 58.50. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of SCHALTBAU HOLDING was at this time reported as 12.11. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. SCHALTBAU HOLDING had 3:1 split on the 20th of August 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out SCHALTBAU HOLDING Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

SCHALTBAU HOLDING Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SCHALTBAU HOLDING's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SCHALTBAU HOLDING's future price movements. Getting to know how SCHALTBAU HOLDING's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SCHALTBAU HOLDING may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
APCApple Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.36 (0.01) 2.12 (2.21) 6.17 
APCApple Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.40 (0.01) 2.09 (2.22) 6.90 
APCApple Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.26 (0) 2.21 (1.96) 5.72 
APCApple Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.44  0  2.24 (2.65) 9.79 
APCApple Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.23 (0.01) 2.96 (2.05) 8.21 
APCApple Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.26 (0) 2.29 (2.15) 7.12 
MSFMicrosoft 0.00 0 per month 1.24 (0.02) 2.10 (1.44) 8.71 
MSFMicrosoft 0.00 0 per month 1.36 (0) 2.33 (1.75) 9.11 
MSFMicrosoft 0.00 0 per month 1.44 (0.01) 2.17 (1.64) 11.42 
MSFMicrosoft 0.00 0 per month 1.35 (0.02) 1.85 (1.53) 8.79 

SCHALTBAU HOLDING Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SCHALTBAU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SCHALTBAU using various technical indicators. When you analyze SCHALTBAU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SCHALTBAU HOLDING Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SCHALTBAU HOLDING stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SCHALTBAU HOLDING, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SCHALTBAU HOLDING based on analysis of SCHALTBAU HOLDING hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SCHALTBAU HOLDING's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SCHALTBAU HOLDING's related companies.

Story Coverage note for SCHALTBAU HOLDING

The number of cover stories for SCHALTBAU HOLDING depends on current market conditions and SCHALTBAU HOLDING's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SCHALTBAU HOLDING is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SCHALTBAU HOLDING's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in SCHALTBAU Stock

SCHALTBAU HOLDING financial ratios help investors to determine whether SCHALTBAU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SCHALTBAU with respect to the benefits of owning SCHALTBAU HOLDING security.