Sembcorp Marine Stock Price Prediction
| SMBMF Stock | USD 1.51 0.04 2.58% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sembcorp Marine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sembcorp Marine from the perspective of Sembcorp Marine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sembcorp Marine to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sembcorp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sembcorp Marine after-hype prediction price | USD 1.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sembcorp |
Sembcorp Marine After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sembcorp Marine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sembcorp Marine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Sembcorp Marine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sembcorp Marine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sembcorp Marine's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sembcorp Marine's historical news coverage. Sembcorp Marine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 8.87, respectively. We have considered Sembcorp Marine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sembcorp Marine is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sembcorp Marine is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sembcorp Marine Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sembcorp Marine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sembcorp Marine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sembcorp Marine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 7.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.51 | 1.51 | 0.00 |
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Sembcorp Marine Hype Timeline
Sembcorp Marine is at this time traded for 1.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sembcorp is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sembcorp Marine is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.51. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.19. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sembcorp Marine has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 310.0. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.05. The firm last dividend was issued on the 25th of April 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out Sembcorp Marine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sembcorp Marine Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sembcorp Marine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sembcorp Marine's future price movements. Getting to know how Sembcorp Marine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sembcorp Marine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SUBCY | Subsea 7 SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.20 | 3.49 | (1.73) | 7.88 | |
| ACGYF | Subsea 7 SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.25 | (1.15) | 12.05 | |
| WYGPY | Worley Parsons | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.68 | 0.01 | 10.69 | (7.73) | 21.49 | |
| SAPMF | Saipem SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.09 | 5.49 | (3.02) | 12.98 | |
| MGYOY | MOL PLC ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.22 | 4.78 | (2.44) | 8.70 | |
| MEGEF | MEG Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.09 | 2.00 | (1.74) | 8.59 | |
| VOPKF | Koninklijke Vopak NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.03 | (0.23) | 7.21 | |
| WYGPF | Worley Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.65 | |
| SBOEY | Schoeller Bleckmann Oilfield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.40) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.28 | |
| PTRRY | Petro Rio SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.52 | 0.17 | 5.42 | (4.37) | 15.72 |
Sembcorp Marine Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sembcorp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sembcorp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sembcorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sembcorp Marine Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sembcorp Marine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sembcorp Marine, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sembcorp Marine based on analysis of Sembcorp Marine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sembcorp Marine's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sembcorp Marine's related companies.
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When running Sembcorp Marine's price analysis, check to measure Sembcorp Marine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sembcorp Marine is operating at the current time. Most of Sembcorp Marine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sembcorp Marine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sembcorp Marine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sembcorp Marine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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