Snap Inc Stock Price Patterns
| SNAP Stock | USD 6.93 0.31 4.28% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.34) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.19) | Wall Street Target Price 9.8056 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.12) |
Using Snap hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Snap Inc from the perspective of Snap response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Snap using Snap's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Snap using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Snap's stock price.
Snap Short Interest
An investor who is long Snap may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Snap and may potentially protect profits, hedge Snap with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.1357 | Short Percent 0.0861 | Short Ratio 2.01 | Shares Short Prior Month 75.1 M | 50 Day MA 7.7842 |
Snap Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Snap's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Snap. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Snap can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Snap Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Snap's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Snap.
Snap Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
Snap's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Snap Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Snap's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Snap stock will not fluctuate a lot when Snap's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Snap to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Snap because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Snap after-hype prediction price | USD 6.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Snap contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Snap Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Snap trading at USD 6.93, that is roughly USD 0.003898 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Snap's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Snap Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Snap Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Snap After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Snap at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Snap or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Snap, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Snap Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Snap's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Snap's historical news coverage. Snap's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.09 and 9.77, respectively. We have considered Snap's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Snap is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Snap Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Snap Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Snap is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Snap backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Snap, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.84 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.93 | 6.93 | 0.00 |
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Snap Hype Timeline
Snap Inc is at this time traded for 6.93. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. Snap is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Snap is about 617.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.00. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.28. Snap Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Snap Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Snap Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Snap's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Snap's future price movements. Getting to know how Snap's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Snap may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TWLO | Twilio Inc | (0.52) | 22 per month | 2.72 | 0.03 | 4.10 | (4.39) | 28.45 | |
| Z | Zillow Group Class | (0.52) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.55 | (4.24) | 14.68 | |
| ROKU | Roku Inc | 2.20 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.80 | (3.58) | 11.68 | |
| OMC | Omnicom Group | 2.18 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.44 | (2.67) | 9.36 | |
| NWSA | News Corp A | 0.11 | 11 per month | 1.18 | (0.02) | 1.65 | (2.05) | 9.10 | |
| FYBR | Frontier Communications Parent | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.29 | (0.21) | 0.68 | |
| TKO | TKO Group Holdings | 1.15 | 11 per month | 1.70 | 0.05 | 3.18 | (2.69) | 7.61 | |
| JOYY | JOYY Inc | (0.95) | 9 per month | 1.71 | 0.04 | 3.03 | (2.73) | 10.63 |
Snap Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Snap price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Snap using various technical indicators. When you analyze Snap charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Snap Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Snap stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Snap Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Snap based on analysis of Snap hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Snap's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Snap's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 101.29 | 91.8 | 105.57 | 137.59 | PTB Ratio | 11.31 | 7.29 | 8.38 | 15.93 |
Pair Trading with Snap
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Snap position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Snap will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Snap Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Snap could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Snap when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Snap - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Snap Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Snap is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Snap moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Snap Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Snap can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Snap Stock Analysis
When running Snap's price analysis, check to measure Snap's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Snap is operating at the current time. Most of Snap's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Snap's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Snap's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Snap to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.