Star Petroleum (Thailand) Price Prediction

SPRC-R Stock  THB 6.75  0.15  2.27%   
As of now, The value of RSI of Star Petroleum's share price is at 51. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Star Petroleum, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

51

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Star Petroleum's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Star Petroleum Refining, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Star Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Star Petroleum Refining from the perspective of Star Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Star Petroleum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Star because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Star Petroleum after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 6.75  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Star Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.275.34680.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.167.91191.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.877.878.87
Details

Star Petroleum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Star Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Star Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Star Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Star Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Star Petroleum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Star Petroleum's historical news coverage. Star Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.34 and 681.75, respectively. We have considered Star Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.75
6.75
After-hype Price
681.75
Upside
Star Petroleum is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Star Petroleum Refining is based on 3 months time horizon.

Star Petroleum Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Star Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Star Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Star Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  30.56 
184.09
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.75
6.75
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Star Petroleum Hype Timeline

Star Petroleum Refining is at this time traded for 6.75on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Star is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 30.56%. %. The volatility of related hype on Star Petroleum is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.75. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.28. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Star Petroleum Refining had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out Star Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Star Petroleum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Star Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Star Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Star Petroleum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Star Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DELTA-RDelta Electronics Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.10  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DELTADelta Electronics Public 0.00 0 per month 3.24  0.14  4.83 (2.40) 22.88 
AOT-RAirports of Thailand 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 0.00  0.00  31.40 
AOTAirports of Thailand 0.00 0 per month 0.85 (0.07) 2.07 (1.59) 5.57 
PTTPTT Public 0.00 0 per month 0.78 (0.10) 2.27 (1.46) 5.19 
PTT-RPTT Public 0.00 0 per month 0.78 (0.10) 2.27 (1.46) 5.19 
INTUCH-RIntouch Holdings Public 0.00 0 per month 1.60  0.08  3.55 (2.87) 11.96 
ADVANC-RAdvanced Info Service 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PTTEP-RPTT Exploration and 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00  0.00  12.11 
PTTEPPTT Exploration and 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.55 (2.67) 6.55 

Star Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Star price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Star using various technical indicators. When you analyze Star charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Star Petroleum Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Star Petroleum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Star Petroleum Refining, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Star Petroleum based on analysis of Star Petroleum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Star Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Star Petroleum's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Star Petroleum

The number of cover stories for Star Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Star Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Star Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Star Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Complementary Tools for Star Stock analysis

When running Star Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Star Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Star Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Star Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Star Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Star Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Star Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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