Sextant International Fund Price Prediction

SSIFX Fund  USD 24.48  0.30  1.24%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sextant International's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually implies that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Sextant, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 76

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sextant International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sextant International Fund, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sextant International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sextant International Fund from the perspective of Sextant International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sextant International to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sextant because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sextant International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 24.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Sextant International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.6525.5528.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7723.6726.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.9023.7924.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sextant International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sextant International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sextant International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sextant International.

Sextant International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sextant International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sextant International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Sextant International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sextant International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sextant International's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sextant International's historical news coverage. Sextant International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.24 and 27.04, respectively. We have considered Sextant International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
24.48
24.14
After-hype Price
27.04
Upside
Sextant International is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sextant International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sextant International Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Sextant International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sextant International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sextant International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
2.88
  0.04 
  0.58 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.48
24.14
0.17 
2,215  
Notes

Sextant International Hype Timeline

Sextant International is at this time traded for 24.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.58. Sextant is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Sextant International is about 165.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.90. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Sextant International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sextant International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sextant International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sextant International's future price movements. Getting to know how Sextant International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sextant International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SIFZXSextant International Fund(0.14)1 per month 1.00  0.09  1.80 (2.18) 23.70 
SSGFXSextant Growth Fund(0.02)10 per month 0.94 (0.06) 1.36 (1.78) 4.84 
GESOXLazard Global Equity 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.84 (1.25) 3.00 
GESIXLazard Global Equity 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.83 (1.30) 2.95 
MSSVXAmg Frontier Small 0.09 1 per month 1.38  0.09  2.33 (2.67) 5.86 
ARFFXAriel Focus Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.47  0.14  1.88 (1.31) 14.87 
SPTESP Funds Trust(0.12)2 per month 1.43 (0.01) 1.75 (2.31) 5.49 
SEMCXSimt Mid Cap(17.26)4 per month 0.00  0.12  1.52 (1.40) 28.48 
SWYBXSchwab Target 2015 0.01 1 per month 0.25 (0.19) 0.52 (0.45) 1.41 
SIPIXSimt Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  1.49 (1.40) 28.63 

Sextant International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sextant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sextant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sextant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sextant International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sextant International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sextant International Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sextant International based on analysis of Sextant International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sextant International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sextant International's related companies.

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Other Information on Investing in Sextant Mutual Fund

Sextant International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sextant Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sextant with respect to the benefits of owning Sextant International security.
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