Swk Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| SWKHL Stock | 25.55 0.05 0.20% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SWK Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SWK Holdings from the perspective of SWK Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SWK Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SWK because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SWK Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 25.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SWK |
SWK Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SWK Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SWK Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SWK Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SWK Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SWK Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SWK Holdings' historical news coverage. SWK Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.18 and 25.92, respectively. We have considered SWK Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SWK Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SWK Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
SWK Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SWK Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SWK Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SWK Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.55 | 25.55 | 0.00 |
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SWK Holdings Hype Timeline
SWK Holdings is at this time traded for 25.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. SWK is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on SWK Holdings is about 78.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.53. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out SWK Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SWK Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SWK Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SWK Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how SWK Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SWK Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GAP | The Gap, | 0.49 | 12 per month | 2.42 | (0.02) | 4.19 | (4.39) | 8.64 | |
| VALN | Valneva SE ADR | (0.10) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 3.20 | (5.35) | 12.07 | |
| ARW | Arrow Electronics | (2.23) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.56 | (1.98) | 15.96 | |
| EYE | National Vision Holdings | 0.57 | 8 per month | 1.90 | 0.04 | 4.82 | (2.84) | 10.35 | |
| CPNG | Coupang LLC | (0.53) | 10 per month | 2.39 | (0.01) | 4.63 | (3.36) | 17.75 | |
| CAH | Cardinal Health | 1.90 | 10 per month | 1.18 | 0.02 | 2.12 | (1.97) | 10.66 | |
| ADI | Analog Devices | (3.93) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.90 | (3.05) | 9.39 | |
| KRG | Kite Realty Group | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.81 | 0.01 | 1.60 | (1.50) | 4.33 |
SWK Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SWK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SWK using various technical indicators. When you analyze SWK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SWK Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SWK Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SWK Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SWK Holdings based on analysis of SWK Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SWK Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SWK Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 11.72 | 27.22 | 45.71 | 43.43 | PTB Ratio | 0.94 | 0.81 | 0.79 | 0.75 |
Story Coverage note for SWK Holdings
The number of cover stories for SWK Holdings depends on current market conditions and SWK Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SWK Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SWK Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SWK Holdings Short Properties
SWK Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when SWK Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SWK Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SWK Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SWK Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0217 | |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 62 |
Check out SWK Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy SWK Stock please use our How to buy in SWK Stock guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Specialized Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SWK Holdings. If investors know SWK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SWK Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of SWK Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SWK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SWK Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SWK Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SWK Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SWK Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SWK Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SWK Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SWK Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.