Tricon Capital Group Price Prediction

TCNDelisted Stock  USD 9.38  0.11  1.19%   
The value of RSI of Tricon Capital's the stock price is about 68. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tricon, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tricon Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tricon Capital Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Tricon Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tricon Capital Group from the perspective of Tricon Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tricon Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tricon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Tricon Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tricon Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.627.6210.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.509.509.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.239.339.42
Details

Tricon Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tricon Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tricon Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tricon Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tricon Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tricon Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tricon Capital's historical news coverage. Tricon Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.38 and 9.38, respectively. We have considered Tricon Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.38
9.38
After-hype Price
9.38
Upside
Tricon Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tricon Capital Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tricon Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tricon Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tricon Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tricon Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.38
9.38
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Tricon Capital Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November Tricon Capital Group is traded for 9.38. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tricon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tricon Capital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.38. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tricon Capital Group last dividend was issued on the 28th of December 2023. The entity had a split on the 3rd of March 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Tricon Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tricon Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tricon Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Tricon Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tricon Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MMIMarcus Millichap(0.29)8 per month 1.39  0.01  3.98 (2.16) 7.80 
CPTPCapital Properties 0.00 0 per month 1.49  0.07  5.71 (2.18) 14.45 
MAYSJ W Mays 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.31 (3.62) 11.71 
FRPHFrp Holdings Ord(0.49)9 per month 1.09 (0.01) 2.19 (1.94) 4.84 
MLPMaui Land Pineapple(0.02)4 per month 2.92 (0.01) 4.26 (5.00) 20.43 
BPYPNBrookfield Property Partners 0.00 0 per month 0.66  0.06  2.39 (1.40) 10.64 
BPYPOBrookfield Property Partners 0.00 0 per month 0.93  0.12  2.73 (1.99) 12.05 
CWKCushman Wakefield plc 1.37 8 per month 1.64  0.06  4.68 (3.05) 19.01 
JLLJones Lang LaSalle(2.65)11 per month 1.57  0.04  3.17 (2.20) 11.41 
NMRKNewmark Group(0.49)7 per month 1.56  0.05  2.82 (2.41) 8.70 
CBRECBRE Group Class 0.36 11 per month 0.99  0.11  2.42 (1.72) 12.38 
CIGIColliers International Group(0.90)9 per month 1.28 (0.02) 2.61 (2.03) 8.07 
TCITranscontinental Realty Investors(0.05)8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.53 (3.18) 9.82 
HOUSAnywhere Real Estate 0.1 8 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.74 (5.35) 19.60 
RMAXRe Max Holding(0.20)9 per month 2.55  0.03  5.18 (4.18) 24.53 

Tricon Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tricon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tricon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tricon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Tricon Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Tricon Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tricon Capital Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tricon Capital based on analysis of Tricon Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tricon Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tricon Capital's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Tricon Capital

The number of cover stories for Tricon Capital depends on current market conditions and Tricon Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tricon Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tricon Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Tricon Capital Short Properties

Tricon Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tricon Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tricon Capital Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tricon Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tricon Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding275.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments219.2 M
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Other Consideration for investing in Tricon Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Tricon Capital Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Tricon Capital's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities