Td Holdings Adr Stock Price Prediction
| TDHOY Stock | USD 12.35 0.58 4.93% |
Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TD Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TD Holdings ADR from the perspective of TD Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TD Holdings to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TDHOY because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TD Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 11.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TDHOY |
TD Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TD Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TD Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of TD Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TD Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TD Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TD Holdings' historical news coverage. TD Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.89 and 15.13, respectively. We have considered TD Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TD Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TD Holdings ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
TD Holdings Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TD Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TD Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TD Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 3.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.35 | 11.51 | 6.80 |
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TD Holdings Hype Timeline
TD Holdings ADR is at this time traded for 12.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TDHOY is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -6.8%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on TD Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.35. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TD Holdings ADR last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of October 2011. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out TD Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TD Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TD Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TD Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how TD Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TD Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLLDY | Sanlam Ltd PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.15 | 3.16 | (2.27) | 7.39 | |
| IAFNF | iA Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.41 | 0.18 | 2.44 | (1.30) | 5.26 | |
| BLHEY | Baloise Holding Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.91 | (4.42) | 12.81 | |
| BLHEF | Bloise Holding AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AEGOF | Aegon NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.88 | |
| DSEEY | Daiwa Securities Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | 0.08 | 4.67 | (3.65) | 9.34 | |
| DSECF | Daiwa Securities Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.95 | |
| IAUGY | Insurance Australia Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.08 | (3.39) | 12.28 | |
| KPCUF | Kasikornbank PCL DRC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MIUFF | Mitsubishi HC Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
TD Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TDHOY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TDHOY using various technical indicators. When you analyze TDHOY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TD Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TD Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TD Holdings ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TD Holdings based on analysis of TD Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TD Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TD Holdings's related companies.
Story Coverage note for TD Holdings
The number of cover stories for TD Holdings depends on current market conditions and TD Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TD Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TD Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TD Holdings Short Properties
TD Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when TD Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TD Holdings ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TD Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TD Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 890.7 B |
Additional Tools for TDHOY Pink Sheet Analysis
When running TD Holdings' price analysis, check to measure TD Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TD Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of TD Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TD Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TD Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TD Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.