Th International Limited Stock Price Prediction
| THCH Stock | USD 2.33 0.17 7.87% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (5.41) | EPS Estimate Next Year (4.07) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
Using TH International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TH International Limited from the perspective of TH International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TH International using TH International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards THCH using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TH International's stock price.
TH International Implied Volatility | 2.37 |
TH International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TH International Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TH International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TH International stock will not fluctuate a lot when TH International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TH International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying THCH because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TH International after-hype prediction price | USD 2.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out TH International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TH International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TH International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TH International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TH International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TH International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TH International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TH International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TH International's historical news coverage. TH International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 6.09, respectively. We have considered TH International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TH International is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TH International is based on 3 months time horizon.
TH International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TH International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TH International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TH International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 3.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.33 | 2.33 | 0.00 |
|
TH International Hype Timeline
TH International is at this time traded for 2.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. THCH is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on TH International is about 2345.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.33. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.52. TH International had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 13th of January 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out TH International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TH International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TH International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TH International's future price movements. Getting to know how TH International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TH International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RRGB | Red Robin Gourmet | (0.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 4.75 | (5.15) | 11.44 | |
| GRWG | GrowGeneration Corp | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.36 | (5.82) | 52.12 | |
| CHSN | Chanson International Holding | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 11.68 | (6.48) | 30.45 | |
| FLL | Full House Resorts | 0.18 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.86 | (4.87) | 16.22 | |
| GENK | GEN Restaurant Group | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.75 | (5.51) | 13.78 | |
| STKS | One Group Hospitality | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.75 | (5.69) | 28.79 | |
| PRPL | Purple Innovation | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.25 | (5.48) | 27.01 | |
| QVCGA | QVC Group | (1.50) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 14.97 | (14.29) | 46.70 | |
| KNDI | Kandi Technologies Group | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.16 | (5.10) | 19.77 | |
| SPWH | Sportsmans | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.96 | (6.07) | 37.14 |
TH International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine THCH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for THCH using various technical indicators. When you analyze THCH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TH International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TH International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TH International Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TH International based on analysis of TH International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TH International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TH International's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.15 | 5.26 | 6.05 | 8.64 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 15.71 | 11.65 | 13.39 | 23.25 |
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Complementary Tools for THCH Stock analysis
When running TH International's price analysis, check to measure TH International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TH International is operating at the current time. Most of TH International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TH International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TH International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TH International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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