Proshares Smart Materials Etf Price Patterns
| TINT Etf | USD 36.44 0.05 0.14% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ProShares Smart hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ProShares Smart Materials from the perspective of ProShares Smart response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ProShares Smart using ProShares Smart's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ProShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ProShares Smart's stock price.
ProShares Smart Implied Volatility | 0.3 |
ProShares Smart's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ProShares Smart Materials stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ProShares Smart's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ProShares Smart stock will not fluctuate a lot when ProShares Smart's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ProShares Smart to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ProShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ProShares Smart after-hype prediction price | USD 36.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ProShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ProShares Smart Materials will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ProShares Smart trading at USD 36.44, that is roughly USD 0.006832 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ProShares Smart's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ProShares Smart Materials options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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ProShares Smart After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ProShares Smart at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ProShares Smart or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of ProShares Smart, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ProShares Smart Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ProShares Smart's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ProShares Smart's historical news coverage. ProShares Smart's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.46 and 37.58, respectively. We have considered ProShares Smart's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ProShares Smart is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares Smart Materials is based on 3 months time horizon.
ProShares Smart Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ProShares Smart is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ProShares Smart backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ProShares Smart, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.06 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.44 | 36.52 | 0.22 |
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ProShares Smart Hype Timeline
ProShares Smart Materials is at this time traded for 36.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. ProShares is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.52 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 189.29%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares Smart is about 623.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.41. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out ProShares Smart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ProShares Smart Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ProShares Smart's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ProShares Smart's future price movements. Getting to know how ProShares Smart's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ProShares Smart may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZSB | USCF Sustainable Battery | (0.70) | 1 per month | 0.74 | 0.28 | 2.85 | (1.84) | 8.00 | |
| CZAR | Themes Natural Monopoly | 0.15 | 6 per month | 0.73 | (0.07) | 0.88 | (1.33) | 4.03 | |
| CTEX | ProShares SP Kensho | 0.23 | 2 per month | 2.93 | 0.1 | 4.83 | (5.05) | 14.00 | |
| QGRD | Horizon Nasdaq 100 Defined | 0.08 | 1 per month | 0.97 | (0.03) | 1.22 | (1.76) | 3.80 | |
| WTID | UBS ETRACS | (1.15) | 1 per month | 10.59 | 0.01 | 23.50 | (18.28) | 63.06 | |
| GENW | Spinnaker ETF Series | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | 0.20 | 1.26 | (0.96) | 2.97 | |
| HFMF | Unlimited HFMF Managed | (0.19) | 1 per month | 0.72 | 0.14 | 1.64 | (1.18) | 4.71 | |
| KLXY | KraneShares Trust | (0.35) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.68 | (2.02) | 4.86 | |
| BULD | Pacer BlueStar Engineering | (0.07) | 2 per month | 1.46 | 0.05 | 2.74 | (2.94) | 7.66 | |
| CLOD | Themes Cloud Computing | 0.30 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.64 | (2.61) | 4.75 |
ProShares Smart Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ProShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ProShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze ProShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ProShares Smart Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ProShares Smart stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ProShares Smart Materials, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ProShares Smart based on analysis of ProShares Smart hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ProShares Smart's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ProShares Smart's related companies.
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Check out ProShares Smart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Understanding ProShares Smart Materials requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects ProShares's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what ProShares Smart's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push ProShares Smart's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Smart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Smart is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, ProShares Smart's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.