TBS Energi (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| TOBA Stock | IDR 484.00 12.00 2.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TBS Energi hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TBS Energi Utama from the perspective of TBS Energi response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TBS Energi to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TBS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TBS Energi after-hype prediction price | IDR 484.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TBS |
TBS Energi After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TBS Energi at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TBS Energi or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TBS Energi, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TBS Energi Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TBS Energi's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TBS Energi's historical news coverage. TBS Energi's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 478.43 and 489.57, respectively. We have considered TBS Energi's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TBS Energi is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TBS Energi Utama is based on 3 months time horizon.
TBS Energi Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TBS Energi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TBS Energi backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TBS Energi, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 5.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
484.00 | 484.00 | 0.00 |
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TBS Energi Hype Timeline
TBS Energi Utama is at this time traded for 484.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TBS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.52%. %. The volatility of related hype on TBS Energi is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 484.00. About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.96. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TBS Energi Utama recorded earning per share (EPS) of 121.62. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of June 2017. The firm had 4:1 split on the 31st of May 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out TBS Energi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TBS Energi Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TBS Energi's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TBS Energi's future price movements. Getting to know how TBS Energi's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TBS Energi may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMMT | Golden Eagle Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | (0.07) | 2.67 | (3.51) | 11.02 | |
| BSSR | Baramulti Suksessarana Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | (0.07) | 2.67 | (2.49) | 7.78 | |
| MYOH | Samindo Resources Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.05 | 3.44 | (2.59) | 9.40 | |
| KKGI | Resource Alam Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.39 | (4.17) | 12.45 | |
| HRUM | Harum Energy Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.13 | (4.22) | 11.27 |
TBS Energi Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TBS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TBS using various technical indicators. When you analyze TBS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TBS Energi Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TBS Energi stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TBS Energi Utama, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TBS Energi based on analysis of TBS Energi hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TBS Energi's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TBS Energi's related companies.
Story Coverage note for TBS Energi
The number of cover stories for TBS Energi depends on current market conditions and TBS Energi's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TBS Energi is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TBS Energi's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TBS Energi Short Properties
TBS Energi's future price predictability will typically decrease when TBS Energi's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TBS Energi Utama often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TBS Energi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TBS Energi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68.8 M |
Other Information on Investing in TBS Stock
TBS Energi financial ratios help investors to determine whether TBS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TBS with respect to the benefits of owning TBS Energi security.