TPBI PCL (Thailand) Price Prediction
| TPBI Stock | THB 2.92 0.02 0.69% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TPBI PCL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TPBI PCL from the perspective of TPBI PCL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TPBI PCL to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TPBI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TPBI PCL after-hype prediction price | THB 2.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TPBI |
TPBI PCL After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TPBI PCL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TPBI PCL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TPBI PCL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TPBI PCL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TPBI PCL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TPBI PCL's historical news coverage. TPBI PCL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.15 and 3.69, respectively. We have considered TPBI PCL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TPBI PCL is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TPBI PCL is based on 3 months time horizon.
TPBI PCL Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TPBI PCL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TPBI PCL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TPBI PCL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.92 | 2.92 | 0.00 |
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TPBI PCL Hype Timeline
TPBI PCL is at this time traded for 2.92on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TPBI is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on TPBI PCL is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.92. About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.94. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TPBI PCL has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 222.06. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of April 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out TPBI PCL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TPBI PCL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TPBI PCL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TPBI PCL's future price movements. Getting to know how TPBI PCL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TPBI PCL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PJW | Panjawattana Plastic Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.00 | (1.92) | 3.88 | |
| AJ | AJ Plast Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.60 | (4.94) | 31.30 | |
| YUASA | Yuasa Battery Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0.12 | 1.79 | (1.75) | 8.70 | |
| TFI | Thai Film Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 20.00 | (16.67) | 41.67 | |
| JUBILE | Jubilee Enterprise Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.44 | (1.44) | 4.95 | |
| WARRIX | Warrix Sport PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.80 | (3.50) | 7.35 | |
| GYT | Goodyear Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | (0) | 2.43 | (2.31) | 7.08 | |
| BIG | Big Camera | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.45 | (5.71) | 18.18 |
TPBI PCL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TPBI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TPBI using various technical indicators. When you analyze TPBI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TPBI PCL Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TPBI PCL stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TPBI PCL, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TPBI PCL based on analysis of TPBI PCL hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TPBI PCL's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TPBI PCL's related companies.
Story Coverage note for TPBI PCL
The number of cover stories for TPBI PCL depends on current market conditions and TPBI PCL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TPBI PCL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TPBI PCL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in TPBI Stock
TPBI PCL financial ratios help investors to determine whether TPBI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TPBI with respect to the benefits of owning TPBI PCL security.