Thai Polycons (Thailand) Price Prediction
| TPOLY Stock | THB 0.24 0.01 4.35% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Thai Polycons hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thai Polycons Public from the perspective of Thai Polycons response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Thai Polycons to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Thai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Thai Polycons after-hype prediction price | THB 0.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Thai |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thai Polycons' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Thai Polycons After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Thai Polycons at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thai Polycons or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Thai Polycons, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Thai Polycons Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Thai Polycons' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thai Polycons' historical news coverage. Thai Polycons' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 6.60, respectively. We have considered Thai Polycons' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Thai Polycons is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thai Polycons Public is based on 3 months time horizon.
Thai Polycons Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Thai Polycons is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thai Polycons backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thai Polycons, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 6.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.24 | 0.24 | 0.00 |
|
Thai Polycons Hype Timeline
Thai Polycons Public is at this time traded for 0.24on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Thai is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.65%. %. The volatility of related hype on Thai Polycons is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.24. About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Thai Polycons Public recorded a loss per share of 0.58. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of May 2021. The firm had 6:5 split on the 2nd of June 2011. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Thai Polycons Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Thai Polycons Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Thai Polycons' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thai Polycons' future price movements. Getting to know how Thai Polycons' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thai Polycons may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TNDT | Thai Nondestructive Testing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.85 | 0.05 | 14.29 | (10.00) | 34.72 | |
| PROS | Prosper Engineering Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 9.30 | (7.84) | 44.85 | |
| CRD | Chiangmai Rimdoi Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.06 | (5.71) | 14.97 | |
| PPS | Project Planning Service | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.88 | (8.70) | 19.52 | |
| TIGER | Thai Enger Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.00 | (12.50) | 45.83 | |
| AMR | AMR Asia Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.50 | (6.67) | 26.38 | |
| NCL | NCL International Logistics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.69 | (7.14) | 15.41 | |
| GENCO | General Environmental Conservation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.88 | 0.07 | 4.35 | (3.70) | 11.85 | |
| FVC | Filter Vision Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.97 | 0.05 | 5.13 | (4.65) | 11.49 | |
| TAKUNI | Takuni Group Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.71 | (5.71) | 28.15 |
Thai Polycons Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Thai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Thai Polycons Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Thai Polycons stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Thai Polycons Public, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Thai Polycons based on analysis of Thai Polycons hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Thai Polycons's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Thai Polycons's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Thai Polycons
The number of cover stories for Thai Polycons depends on current market conditions and Thai Polycons' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thai Polycons is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thai Polycons' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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When running Thai Polycons' price analysis, check to measure Thai Polycons' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thai Polycons is operating at the current time. Most of Thai Polycons' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thai Polycons' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thai Polycons' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thai Polycons to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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