Tri City Bankshares Stock Price Prediction
| TRCY Stock | USD 20.48 0.27 1.30% |
Momentum 86
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tri City hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tri City Bankshares from the perspective of Tri City response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tri City to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tri because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tri City after-hype prediction price | USD 20.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tri |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tri City's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tri City After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tri City at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tri City or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Tri City, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tri City Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tri City's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tri City's historical news coverage. Tri City's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.60 and 22.36, respectively. We have considered Tri City's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tri City is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tri City Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tri City Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tri City is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tri City backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tri City, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.48 | 20.48 | 0.00 |
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Tri City Hype Timeline
Tri City Bankshares is at this time traded for 20.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tri is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tri City is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.48. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.99. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tri City Bankshares last dividend was issued on the 27th of January 2023. The entity had 3:1 split on the 4th of March 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Tri City Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tri City Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tri City's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tri City's future price movements. Getting to know how Tri City's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tri City may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HLOI | Previsto International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GLBB | Global Quest | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SOHI | Sortis Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | |
| VHLD | Vector 21 Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.45 | |
| WSFGQ | WSB Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VMTG | Victor Mining Industry | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.70 | (10.00) | 78.48 | |
| OFSI | Omni Financial Services | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ODMO | Odimo Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RBRI | RBR Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRPS | Trip Technologies | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Tri City Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tri price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tri using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tri charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tri City Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tri City stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tri City Bankshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tri City based on analysis of Tri City hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tri City's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tri City's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Tri City
The number of cover stories for Tri City depends on current market conditions and Tri City's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tri City is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tri City's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Tri Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Tri City's price analysis, check to measure Tri City's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tri City is operating at the current time. Most of Tri City's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tri City's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tri City's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tri City to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.