Troax Group (Sweden) Price Prediction
| TROAX Stock | SEK 207.50 3.00 1.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Troax Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Troax Group AB from the perspective of Troax Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Troax Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Troax because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Troax Group after-hype prediction price | SEK 207.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Troax |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Troax Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Troax Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Troax Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Troax Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Troax Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Troax Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Troax Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Troax Group's historical news coverage. Troax Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 205.64 and 209.36, respectively. We have considered Troax Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Troax Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Troax Group AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Troax Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Troax Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Troax Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Troax Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
207.50 | 207.50 | 0.00 |
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Troax Group Hype Timeline
Troax Group AB is at this time traded for 207.50on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Troax is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Troax Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 207.50. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 776.29. Troax Group AB recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of April 2022. The firm had 3:1 split on the 18th of June 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Troax Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Troax Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Troax Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Troax Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Troax Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Troax Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADDT-B | Addtech AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.45 | (2.82) | 8.61 | |
| TEQ | Teqnion AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.39 | (2.00) | 6.66 | |
| VIT-B | Vitec Software Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.79 | (3.51) | 16.40 | |
| LAGR-B | Lagercrantz Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.01 | 2.56 | (2.52) | 9.53 |
Troax Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Troax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Troax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Troax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Troax Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Troax Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Troax Group AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Troax Group based on analysis of Troax Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Troax Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Troax Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Troax Group
The number of cover stories for Troax Group depends on current market conditions and Troax Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Troax Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Troax Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Troax Group Short Properties
Troax Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Troax Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Troax Group AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Troax Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Troax Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.2 M |
Additional Tools for Troax Stock Analysis
When running Troax Group's price analysis, check to measure Troax Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Troax Group is operating at the current time. Most of Troax Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Troax Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Troax Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Troax Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.