Troops Inc Stock Price Prediction
| TROO Stock | USD 3.61 0.22 6.49% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.921 |
Using TROOPS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TROOPS Inc from the perspective of TROOPS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TROOPS using TROOPS's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TROOPS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TROOPS's stock price.
TROOPS Implied Volatility | 1.69 |
TROOPS's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TROOPS Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TROOPS's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TROOPS stock will not fluctuate a lot when TROOPS's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TROOPS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TROOPS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TROOPS after-hype prediction price | USD 4.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out TROOPS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. TROOPS After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TROOPS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TROOPS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TROOPS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TROOPS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TROOPS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TROOPS's historical news coverage. TROOPS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 11.58, respectively. We have considered TROOPS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TROOPS is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TROOPS Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
TROOPS Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TROOPS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TROOPS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TROOPS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.71 | 7.43 | 0.75 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.61 | 4.11 | 21.24 |
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TROOPS Hype Timeline
TROOPS Inc is at this time traded for 3.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.75, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. TROOPS is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.11 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 21.24%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.71%. The volatility of related hype on TROOPS is about 49533.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.64. TROOPS Inc currently holds 26 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. TROOPS Inc has a current ratio of 2.78, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about TROOPS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out TROOPS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TROOPS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TROOPS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TROOPS's future price movements. Getting to know how TROOPS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TROOPS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXFY | Expensify | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.83 | (4.17) | 15.72 | |
| TEAD | Teads BV | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.97 | (9.76) | 57.23 | |
| DSP | Viant Technology | 0.32 | 10 per month | 2.24 | 0.16 | 5.41 | (4.71) | 25.80 | |
| SSTI | Shotspotter | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.06 | (7.07) | 16.87 | |
| AISP | Airship AI Holdings | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.08 | (8.70) | 29.30 | |
| NRDY | Nerdy Inc | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.17 | (7.14) | 20.36 | |
| KULR | KULR Technology Group | (0.02) | 8 per month | 5.46 | 0.02 | 13.83 | (8.81) | 27.63 | |
| XTKG | X3 Holdings Co | (0.02) | 35 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 10.83 | (19.23) | 101.28 | |
| HIT | Health In Tech | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 11.20 | (14.21) | 36.66 | |
| RDZN | Roadzen | 0.02 | 8 per month | 3.38 | 0.10 | 13.74 | (5.75) | 32.71 |
TROOPS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TROOPS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TROOPS using various technical indicators. When you analyze TROOPS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TROOPS Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TROOPS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TROOPS Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TROOPS based on analysis of TROOPS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TROOPS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TROOPS's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 746.67 | 512.19 | 460.97 | 437.92 | PTB Ratio | 5.01 | 2.46 | 2.83 | 2.68 |
Pair Trading with TROOPS
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if TROOPS position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TROOPS will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against TROOPS Stock
| 0.84 | DBX | Dropbox | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | OLB | OLB Group | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | DOMO | Domo Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | CYN | Cyngn Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | FRGT | Freight Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | DT | Dynatrace Holdings LLC Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to TROOPS could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace TROOPS when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back TROOPS - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling TROOPS Inc to buy it.
The correlation of TROOPS is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as TROOPS moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if TROOPS Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for TROOPS can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out TROOPS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TROOPS. If investors know TROOPS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TROOPS listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.13) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.921 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of TROOPS Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TROOPS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TROOPS's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TROOPS's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TROOPS's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TROOPS's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TROOPS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TROOPS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TROOPS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.