Trinseo Sa Stock Price Prediction
| TSE Stock | USD 4.44 0.65 17.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
30
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.86) | EPS Estimate Current Year (7.36) | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.48) | Wall Street Target Price 4.5 |
Using Trinseo SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trinseo SA from the perspective of Trinseo SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Trinseo SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Trinseo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Trinseo SA after-hype prediction price | USD 3.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Trinseo |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trinseo SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trinseo SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Trinseo SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trinseo SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Trinseo SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Trinseo SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Trinseo SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trinseo SA's historical news coverage. Trinseo SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 10.33, respectively. We have considered Trinseo SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Trinseo SA is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trinseo SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Trinseo SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trinseo SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trinseo SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trinseo SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 6.85 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.44 | 3.43 | 9.50 |
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Trinseo SA Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Trinseo SA is traded for 4.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Trinseo is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -9.5%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Trinseo SA is about 2187.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.41. About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.22. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Trinseo SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.54. The entity recorded a loss per share of 13.99. The firm last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2025. Trinseo SA had 1:1 split on the 11th of October 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Trinseo SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Trinseo SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Trinseo SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trinseo SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Trinseo SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trinseo SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Trinseo SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trinseo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trinseo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trinseo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Trinseo SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Trinseo SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Trinseo SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trinseo SA based on analysis of Trinseo SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Trinseo SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Trinseo SA's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0583 | 0.0606 | 0.0576 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.16 | 0.0804 | 0.0764 |
Story Coverage note for Trinseo SA
The number of cover stories for Trinseo SA depends on current market conditions and Trinseo SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trinseo SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trinseo SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Trinseo SA Short Properties
Trinseo SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trinseo SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trinseo SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trinseo SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trinseo SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 259.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Trinseo Stock analysis
When running Trinseo SA's price analysis, check to measure Trinseo SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trinseo SA is operating at the current time. Most of Trinseo SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trinseo SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trinseo SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trinseo SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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