Graniteshares 2x Long Etf Price Prediction
| TSMU Etf | 50.13 0.40 0.80% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using GraniteShares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GraniteShares 2x Long from the perspective of GraniteShares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GraniteShares using GraniteShares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GraniteShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GraniteShares' stock price.
GraniteShares Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
GraniteShares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GraniteShares 2x Long stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GraniteShares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GraniteShares stock will not fluctuate a lot when GraniteShares' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GraniteShares to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GraniteShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GraniteShares after-hype prediction price | USD 50.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current GraniteShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that GraniteShares 2x Long will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0519% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With GraniteShares trading at USD 50.13, that is roughly USD 0.026 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating GraniteShares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring GraniteShares 2x Long options at the current volatility level of 0.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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GraniteShares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GraniteShares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GraniteShares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of GraniteShares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GraniteShares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GraniteShares' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GraniteShares' historical news coverage. GraniteShares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.23 and 54.03, respectively. We have considered GraniteShares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GraniteShares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GraniteShares 2x Long is based on 3 months time horizon.
GraniteShares Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as GraniteShares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GraniteShares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GraniteShares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 3.92 | 0.75 | 0.09 | 4 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
50.13 | 50.13 | 0.00 |
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GraniteShares Hype Timeline
GraniteShares 2x Long is at this time traded for 50.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.75, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. GraniteShares is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 157.43%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on GraniteShares is about 1315.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.04. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out GraniteShares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GraniteShares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GraniteShares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GraniteShares' future price movements. Getting to know how GraniteShares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GraniteShares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRWL | GraniteShares 2x Long | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.65 | (6.88) | 18.45 | |
| AAPB | GraniteShares ETF Trust | (1.19) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.06 | (3.42) | 14.79 | |
| ROKT | SPDR SP Kensho | (2.01) | 4 per month | 1.45 | 0.17 | 3.41 | (2.53) | 7.45 | |
| ZHDG | ZEGA Buy and | 0.03 | 2 per month | 0.59 | (0.11) | 1.08 | (0.84) | 3.19 | |
| FTXR | First Trust Nasdaq | 0.41 | 10 per month | 0.92 | 0.11 | 2.23 | (1.71) | 5.96 | |
| IRTR | iShares Trust | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.25 | (0.23) | 0.49 | (0.49) | 1.56 | |
| EGGS | NestYield Total Return | (0.12) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.11 | (3.20) | 7.34 | |
| XNAV | FundX Aggressive ETF | (0.14) | 2 per month | 0.99 | 0.03 | 1.40 | (1.67) | 4.37 | |
| ROMO | Strategy Shares NewfoundReSolve | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.62 | (0.05) | 1.03 | (1.26) | 3.07 | |
| DIVY | Tidal ETF Trust | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.51 | 0.04 | 1.20 | (1.15) | 3.30 |
GraniteShares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GraniteShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GraniteShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze GraniteShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About GraniteShares Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GraniteShares stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GraniteShares 2x Long, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GraniteShares based on analysis of GraniteShares hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GraniteShares's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GraniteShares's related companies.
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Check out GraniteShares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
The market value of GraniteShares 2x Long is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GraniteShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GraniteShares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GraniteShares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GraniteShares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GraniteShares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GraniteShares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GraniteShares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GraniteShares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.