Twin Hospitality Group Stock Price Prediction
| TWNP Stock | 0.77 0.03 3.75% |
Momentum 18
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (1.35) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.20) | Wall Street Target Price 10 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Twin Hospitality hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Twin Hospitality Group from the perspective of Twin Hospitality response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Twin Hospitality Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Twin Hospitality's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Twin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Twin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Twin Hospitality Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Twin Hospitality's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Twin Hospitality.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Twin Hospitality to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Twin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Twin Hospitality after-hype prediction price | USD 0.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Twin Hospitality Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Twin Hospitality After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Twin Hospitality at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Twin Hospitality or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Twin Hospitality, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Twin Hospitality Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Twin Hospitality's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Twin Hospitality's historical news coverage. Twin Hospitality's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 8.14, respectively. We have considered Twin Hospitality's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Twin Hospitality is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Twin Hospitality is based on 3 months time horizon.
Twin Hospitality Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Twin Hospitality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Twin Hospitality backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Twin Hospitality, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.28 | 7.32 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.77 | 0.82 | 6.49 |
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Twin Hospitality Hype Timeline
Twin Hospitality is at this time traded for 0.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Twin is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 6.49%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -2.28%. The volatility of related hype on Twin Hospitality is about 9384.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.59. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.2) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.06) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.06. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Twin Hospitality Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Twin Hospitality Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Twin Hospitality's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Twin Hospitality's future price movements. Getting to know how Twin Hospitality's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Twin Hospitality may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings | (0.66) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.52 | (4.46) | 19.06 | |
| DENN | Dennys Corp | (0.49) | 12 per month | 2.63 | 0.04 | 3.00 | (6.94) | 51.18 | |
| SEV | Aptera Motors Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 14.23 | (12.11) | 76.15 | |
| XPOF | Xponential Fitness | 0.08 | 8 per month | 2.78 | 0.03 | 5.26 | (4.41) | 25.15 | |
| INSE | Inspired Entertainment | 0.29 | 10 per month | 2.91 | (0.02) | 3.97 | (4.76) | 18.56 | |
| GHG | GreenTree Hospitality Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.47 | (4.43) | 9.06 | |
| SRI | Stoneridge | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.70 | (4.33) | 23.14 | |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.88 | (0.02) | 3.17 | (3.23) | 6.51 | |
| LOGC | Contextlogic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.12 | (3.16) | 9.27 | |
| FLWS | 1 800 FLOWERSCOM | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.43 | (7.97) | 43.73 |
Twin Hospitality Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Twin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Twin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Twin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Twin Hospitality Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Twin Hospitality stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Twin Hospitality Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Twin Hospitality based on analysis of Twin Hospitality hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Twin Hospitality's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Twin Hospitality's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Net Debt To EBITDA | 14.49 | 18.22 | 16.4 | 20.15 | Intangibles To Total Assets | 0.34 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.3 |
Story Coverage note for Twin Hospitality
The number of cover stories for Twin Hospitality depends on current market conditions and Twin Hospitality's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Twin Hospitality is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Twin Hospitality's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Twin Hospitality Short Properties
Twin Hospitality's future price predictability will typically decrease when Twin Hospitality's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Twin Hospitality Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Twin Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Twin Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.4 M |
Additional Tools for Twin Stock Analysis
When running Twin Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure Twin Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Twin Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Twin Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Twin Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Twin Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Twin Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.