Twin Hospitality Group Stock Price Patterns
| TWNP Stock | 0.03 0 3.33% |
Momentum 26
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (1.35) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.20) | Wall Street Target Price 10 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Twin Hospitality hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Twin Hospitality Group from the perspective of Twin Hospitality response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Twin Hospitality Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Twin Hospitality's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Twin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Twin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Twin Hospitality Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Twin Hospitality's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Twin Hospitality.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Twin Hospitality to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Twin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Twin Hospitality after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0251 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Twin Hospitality Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Twin Hospitality After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Twin Hospitality at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Twin Hospitality or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Twin Hospitality, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Twin Hospitality Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Twin Hospitality's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Twin Hospitality's historical news coverage. Twin Hospitality's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 13.56, respectively. We have considered Twin Hospitality's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Twin Hospitality is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Twin Hospitality is based on 3 months time horizon.
Twin Hospitality Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Twin Hospitality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Twin Hospitality backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Twin Hospitality, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
6.39 | 13.53 | 0.51 | 0.46 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.03 | 0.03 | 13.53 |
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Twin Hospitality Hype Timeline
Twin Hospitality is at this time traded for 0.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.51, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.46. Twin is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.0251. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -13.53%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -6.39%. The volatility of related hype on Twin Hospitality is about 18791.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.43. About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.21. Twin Hospitality had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Twin Hospitality Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Twin Hospitality Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Twin Hospitality's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Twin Hospitality's future price movements. Getting to know how Twin Hospitality's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Twin Hospitality may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings | (0.24) | 9 per month | 2.81 | (0.02) | 4.38 | (4.42) | 19.06 | |
| DENN | Dennys Corp | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.06 | 2.24 | (4.27) | 51.18 | |
| SEV | Aptera Motors Corp | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 9.87 | (14.25) | 51.99 | |
| XPOF | Xponential Fitness | (0.32) | 7 per month | 2.75 | 0.09 | 7.42 | (4.67) | 25.15 | |
| INSE | Inspired Entertainment | (0.07) | 7 per month | 2.81 | 0.04 | 3.97 | (4.58) | 18.56 | |
| GHG | GreenTree Hospitality Group | (0.11) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 2.76 | (4.27) | 9.17 | |
| SRI | Stoneridge | 0.13 | 6 per month | 3.41 | 0.07 | 6.97 | (3.72) | 18.36 | |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands | (0.06) | 9 per month | 1.55 | 0.07 | 3.51 | (2.25) | 14.61 | |
| LOGC | Contextlogic | 0.25 | 30 per month | 1.32 | (0.04) | 1.81 | (2.47) | 7.55 | |
| FLWS | 1 800 FLOWERSCOM | (0.20) | 7 per month | 4.06 | 0.06 | 7.67 | (7.38) | 43.73 |
Twin Hospitality Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Twin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Twin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Twin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Twin Hospitality Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Twin Hospitality stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Twin Hospitality Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Twin Hospitality based on analysis of Twin Hospitality hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Twin Hospitality's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Twin Hospitality's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Net Debt To EBITDA | 14.49 | 18.22 | 16.4 | 20.15 | Intangibles To Total Assets | 0.34 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.3 |
Pair Trading with Twin Hospitality
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Twin Hospitality position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Twin Hospitality will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Twin Stock
| 0.91 | CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | JACK | Jack In Downward Rally | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | MTY | MTY Food Group Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | CEH | Coast Entertainment | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | BET | Betmakers Technology | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | SGR | The Star Entertainment | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Twin Hospitality could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Twin Hospitality when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Twin Hospitality - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Twin Hospitality Group to buy it.
The correlation of Twin Hospitality is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Twin Hospitality moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Twin Hospitality moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Twin Hospitality can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Twin Stock Analysis
When running Twin Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure Twin Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Twin Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Twin Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Twin Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Twin Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Twin Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.