Union Petrochemical (Thailand) Price Prediction
| UKEM Stock | THB 0.69 0.02 2.99% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Union Petrochemical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Union Petrochemical Public from the perspective of Union Petrochemical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Union Petrochemical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Union because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Union Petrochemical after-hype prediction price | THB 0.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Union |
Union Petrochemical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Union Petrochemical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Union Petrochemical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Union Petrochemical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Union Petrochemical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Union Petrochemical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Union Petrochemical's historical news coverage. Union Petrochemical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 85.19, respectively. We have considered Union Petrochemical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Union Petrochemical is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Union Petrochemical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Union Petrochemical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Union Petrochemical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Union Petrochemical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Union Petrochemical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
13.81 | 125.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.69 | 0.69 | 0.00 |
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Union Petrochemical Hype Timeline
Union Petrochemical is at this time traded for 0.69on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Union is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 13.81%. %. The volatility of related hype on Union Petrochemical is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.69. About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Union Petrochemical was at this time reported as 0.77. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of April 2022. Union Petrochemical had 3:2 split on the 7th of February 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Union Petrochemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Union Petrochemical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Union Petrochemical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Union Petrochemical's future price movements. Getting to know how Union Petrochemical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Union Petrochemical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VIBHA | Vibhavadi Medical Center | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.06 | (2.88) | 7.21 | |
| WHA | WHA Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | 0.06 | 4.62 | (2.64) | 11.98 | |
| TSTH | Tata Steel Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.18 | 0.10 | 10.00 | (4.94) | 19.95 | |
| TPIPL | TPI Polene Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.48 | (2.46) | 8.33 |
Union Petrochemical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Union price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Union using various technical indicators. When you analyze Union charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Union Petrochemical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Union Petrochemical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Union Petrochemical Public, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Union Petrochemical based on analysis of Union Petrochemical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Union Petrochemical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Union Petrochemical's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Union Petrochemical
The number of cover stories for Union Petrochemical depends on current market conditions and Union Petrochemical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Union Petrochemical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Union Petrochemical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Union Petrochemical Short Properties
Union Petrochemical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Union Petrochemical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Union Petrochemical Public often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Union Petrochemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Union Petrochemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 63.9 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 654.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Union Stock
Union Petrochemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Union Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Union with respect to the benefits of owning Union Petrochemical security.