SUMIBK 2222 17 SEP 31 Price Prediction
| 86562MCJ7 | 79.14 4.51 5.39% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SUMIBK hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SUMIBK 2222 17 SEP 31 from the perspective of SUMIBK response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SUMIBK to buy its bond at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SUMIBK because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell bonds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SUMIBK after-hype prediction price | $ 79.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as bond price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SUMIBK |
SUMIBK Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of SUMIBK at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SUMIBK or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Bond prices, such as prices of SUMIBK, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SUMIBK Bond Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Corporate Bond such as SUMIBK is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SUMIBK backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Bond price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SUMIBK, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
79.14 | 79.14 | 0.00 |
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SUMIBK Hype Timeline
SUMIBK 2222 17 is at this time traded for 79.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. SUMIBK is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on SUMIBK is about 124.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.19. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out SUMIBK Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SUMIBK Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SUMIBK's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SUMIBK's future price movements. Getting to know how SUMIBK's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SUMIBK may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PLMR | Palomar Holdings | 4.17 | 9 per month | 1.82 | 0.02 | 4.52 | (3.01) | 12.94 | |
| AHL-PD | Aspen Insurance Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.05) | 2.49 | (1.90) | 4.81 | |
| MESA | Mesa Air Group | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.60 | (6.38) | 28.65 | |
| TRUP | Trupanion | 0.55 | 11 per month | 2.76 | 0.06 | 5.13 | (3.89) | 14.74 | |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corp | 0.28 | 8 per month | 1.66 | (0.02) | 2.12 | (2.36) | 8.56 | |
| ATSG | Air Transport Services | 0.05 | 12 per month | 1.87 | 0.11 | 3.95 | (3.09) | 26.66 | |
| RYAAY | Ryanair Holdings PLC | 0.40 | 9 per month | 1.93 | 0 | 3.77 | (3.25) | 8.74 |
SUMIBK Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SUMIBK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SUMIBK using various technical indicators. When you analyze SUMIBK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SUMIBK Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SUMIBK stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SUMIBK 2222 17 SEP 31, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SUMIBK based on analysis of SUMIBK hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SUMIBK's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SUMIBK's related companies.
Story Coverage note for SUMIBK
The number of cover stories for SUMIBK depends on current market conditions and SUMIBK's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SUMIBK is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SUMIBK's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in SUMIBK Bond
SUMIBK financial ratios help investors to determine whether SUMIBK Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SUMIBK with respect to the benefits of owning SUMIBK security.