United States Commodity Etf Price Patterns
| USCI Etf | USD 84.52 2.98 3.41% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using United States hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United States Commodity from the perspective of United States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards United States using United States' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards United using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of United States' stock price.
United States Implied Volatility | 0.22 |
United States' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of United States Commodity stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if United States' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that United States stock will not fluctuate a lot when United States' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in United States to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
United States after-hype prediction price | USD 87.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current United contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that United States Commodity will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0138% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With United States trading at USD 84.52, that is roughly USD 0.0116 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating United States' daily price movement you should consider acquiring United States Commodity options at the current volatility level of 0.22%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United States' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United States After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of United States at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United States or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of United States, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
United States Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting United States' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United States' historical news coverage. United States' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 86.54 and 88.46, respectively. We have considered United States' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
United States is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United States Commodity is based on 3 months time horizon.
United States Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as United States is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United States backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United States, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.07 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
84.52 | 87.50 | 0.00 |
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United States Hype Timeline
United States Commodity is at this time traded for 84.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. United is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on United States is about 1671.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 84.53. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.United States Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to United States' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United States' future price movements. Getting to know how United States' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United States may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TOPT | iShares Top 20 | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.86 | (0.07) | 1.15 | (1.32) | 4.48 | |
| RSST | Return Stacked Stocks | 0.53 | 11 per month | 1.44 | 0.09 | 2.28 | (2.61) | 6.83 | |
| IQQQ | ProShares Nasdaq 100 High | 0.08 | 2 per month | 1.11 | (0) | 1.43 | (1.97) | 4.77 | |
| USSE | Segall Bryant Hamill | 0.03 | 13 per month | 0.88 | (0.02) | 1.15 | (1.68) | 3.96 | |
| USNZ | DBX ETF Trust | (0.16) | 3 per month | 0.76 | (0.04) | 1.17 | (1.30) | 4.07 | |
| GDEC | First Trust Exchange | 0.05 | 1 per month | 0.18 | (0.04) | 0.60 | (0.41) | 1.81 | |
| DJUN | FT Cboe Vest | (0.1) | 4 per month | 0.12 | (0.13) | 0.42 | (0.36) | 1.23 | |
| INCO | Columbia India Consumer | (0.16) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.85 | (1.28) | 4.08 | |
| SHE | SPDR SSGA Gender | 0.33 | 7 per month | 0.70 | 0.03 | 1.20 | (1.32) | 3.34 | |
| HEDG | Series Portfolios Trust | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.12 | (0.04) | 0.53 | (0.45) | 1.55 |
United States Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About United States Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of United States stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United States Commodity, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United States based on analysis of United States hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United States's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United States's related companies.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether United States Commodity offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of United States' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of United States Commodity Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on United States Commodity Etf:Check out United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Understanding United States Commodity requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects United's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what United States' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push United States' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United States' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United States is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, United States' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.