Uxin Stock Price Prediction
| UXIN Stock | USD 3.51 0.07 2.03% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (1.17) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.68) | Wall Street Target Price 4.5541 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.768 |
Using Uxin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Uxin from the perspective of Uxin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Uxin Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Uxin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Uxin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Uxin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Uxin. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Uxin's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Uxin.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Uxin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Uxin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Uxin after-hype prediction price | USD 3.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Uxin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Uxin After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Uxin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Uxin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Uxin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Uxin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Uxin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Uxin's historical news coverage. Uxin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.18 and 9.35, respectively. We have considered Uxin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Uxin is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Uxin is based on 3 months time horizon.
Uxin Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Uxin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Uxin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Uxin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 5.72 | 0.13 | 0.30 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.51 | 3.63 | 3.71 |
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Uxin Hype Timeline
Uxin is at this time traded for 3.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.3. Uxin is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.63 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 3.71%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.63%. The volatility of related hype on Uxin is about 1196.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.21. Uxin currently holds 1.75 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.47, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Uxin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Uxin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Uxin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Uxin's future price movements. Getting to know how Uxin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Uxin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CARS | Cars Inc | 0.05 | 10 per month | 1.89 | 0.06 | 3.99 | (3.44) | 10.98 | |
| CANG | Cango Inc | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.83 | (7.64) | 25.75 | |
| AXL | American Axle Manufacturing | 0.09 | 11 per month | 2.38 | 0.12 | 6.86 | (4.01) | 13.25 | |
| HOV | Hovnanian Enterprises | (2.41) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.93 | (5.13) | 34.59 | |
| CPS | Cooper Stnd | (1.34) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.82 | (5.11) | 18.47 | |
| KFS | Kingsway Financial Services | 0.17 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.13 | (4.33) | 20.86 | |
| BLMN | Bloomin Brands | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.22 | (6.35) | 16.41 | |
| MYE | Myers Industries | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.88 | 0.16 | 2.81 | (1.75) | 7.31 | |
| MBUU | Malibu Boats | (1.15) | 10 per month | 3.21 | (0) | 4.10 | (4.11) | 17.20 | |
| VFS | VinFast Auto Ltd | 0.02 | 8 per month | 2.43 | (0.03) | 3.29 | (3.83) | 15.20 |
Uxin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Uxin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Uxin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Uxin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Uxin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Uxin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Uxin, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Uxin based on analysis of Uxin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Uxin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Uxin's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 16.03 | 22.76 | 20.49 | 10.91 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 31.16 | 40.76 | 36.69 | 25.66 |
Pair Trading with Uxin
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Uxin position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Uxin will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Uxin Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Uxin could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Uxin when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Uxin - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Uxin to buy it.
The correlation of Uxin is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Uxin moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Uxin moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Uxin can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Uxin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Uxin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Uxin guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Uxin. If investors know Uxin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Uxin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (34.94) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.768 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Uxin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Uxin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Uxin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Uxin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Uxin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Uxin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Uxin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Uxin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Uxin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.