Proshares Trust Etf Price Prediction
| UXRP Etf | 9.18 0.23 2.44% |
Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ProShares Trust hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ProShares Trust from the perspective of ProShares Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ProShares Trust using ProShares Trust's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ProShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ProShares Trust's stock price.
ProShares Trust Implied Volatility | 1.49 |
ProShares Trust's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ProShares Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ProShares Trust's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ProShares Trust stock will not fluctuate a lot when ProShares Trust's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ProShares Trust to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ProShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ProShares Trust after-hype prediction price | USD 9.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ProShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ProShares Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0931% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ProShares Trust trading at USD 9.18, that is roughly USD 0.008549 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ProShares Trust's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ProShares Trust options at the current volatility level of 1.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
ProShares | Build AI portfolio with ProShares Etf |
ProShares Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of ProShares Trust at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ProShares Trust or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of ProShares Trust, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ProShares Trust Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ProShares Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ProShares Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ProShares Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.86 | 10.70 | 0.50 | 0.09 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.18 | 9.68 | 5.45 |
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ProShares Trust Hype Timeline
ProShares Trust is at this time traded for 9.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. ProShares is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 5.45%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.86%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares Trust is about 10490.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.09. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out ProShares Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ProShares Trust Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ProShares Trust's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ProShares Trust's future price movements. Getting to know how ProShares Trust's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ProShares Trust may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IONZ | Defiance Daily Target | (0.30) | 1 per month | 10.14 | 0.02 | 17.17 | (15.75) | 53.88 | |
| BNO | United States Brent | (0.06) | 6 per month | 1.38 | 0.04 | 2.78 | (2.16) | 6.86 | |
| EPHE | iShares MSCI Philippines | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.95 | (0.01) | 2.04 | (1.59) | 4.82 | |
| NVYY | GraniteShares YieldBOOST NVDA | (0.32) | 2 per month | 1.89 | (0.04) | 2.21 | (3.27) | 7.29 | |
| SGLC | Rbb Fund | 0.12 | 3 per month | 0.91 | 0.04 | 1.61 | (1.59) | 4.67 | |
| TAIL | Cambria Tail Risk | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.69 | (0.75) | 2.30 | |
| SEPT | AIM ETF Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.36 | (0.09) | 0.62 | (0.72) | 2.27 | |
| SMAY | FT Cboe Vest | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.31 | (0.07) | 0.79 | (0.67) | 2.01 | |
| FDIF | Fidelity Disruptors ETF | 0.09 | 3 per month | 0.93 | (0.05) | 1.32 | (1.74) | 4.28 | |
| RVER | Advisor Managed Portfolios | (0.48) | 1 per month | 1.22 | (0.05) | 2.48 | (2.03) | 5.89 |
ProShares Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ProShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ProShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze ProShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ProShares Trust Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ProShares Trust stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ProShares Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ProShares Trust based on analysis of ProShares Trust hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ProShares Trust's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ProShares Trust's related companies.
Pair Trading with ProShares Trust
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ProShares Trust position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares Trust will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against ProShares Etf
| 0.59 | VTV | Vanguard Value Index | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | CPST | Calamos ETF Trust | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | VEA | Vanguard FTSE Developed Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.44 | VB | Vanguard Small Cap | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | ITDD | iShares Trust | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ProShares Trust could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ProShares Trust when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ProShares Trust - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ProShares Trust to buy it.
The correlation of ProShares Trust is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ProShares Trust moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ProShares Trust moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ProShares Trust can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out ProShares Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
The market value of ProShares Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.