Virco Manufacturing Stock Price Prediction
| VIRC Stock | USD 15.91 0.20 1.24% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.093 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.35 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.72 | Wall Street Target Price 20 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1 |
Using Virco Manufacturing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Virco Manufacturing from the perspective of Virco Manufacturing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Virco Manufacturing to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Virco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Virco Manufacturing after-hype prediction price | USD 16.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Virco |
Virco Manufacturing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Virco Manufacturing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Virco Manufacturing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Virco Manufacturing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Virco Manufacturing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Virco Manufacturing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Virco Manufacturing's historical news coverage. Virco Manufacturing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.54 and 19.66, respectively. We have considered Virco Manufacturing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Virco Manufacturing is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Virco Manufacturing is based on 3 months time horizon.
Virco Manufacturing Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Virco Manufacturing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Virco Manufacturing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Virco Manufacturing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 3.56 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.91 | 16.10 | 0.06 |
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Virco Manufacturing Hype Timeline
Virco Manufacturing is at this time traded for 15.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Virco is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Virco Manufacturing is about 1294.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.90. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Virco Manufacturing was at this time reported as 6.62. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of September 2024. Virco Manufacturing had 11:10 split on the 4th of September 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Virco Manufacturing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Virco Manufacturing Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Virco Manufacturing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Virco Manufacturing's future price movements. Getting to know how Virco Manufacturing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Virco Manufacturing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BSET | Bassett Furniture Industries | (0.55) | 9 per month | 1.53 | 0.05 | 3.24 | (2.70) | 9.61 | |
| HOFT | Hooker Furniture | (0.47) | 8 per month | 2.44 | 0.10 | 6.16 | (3.65) | 11.82 | |
| NTZ | Natuzzi SpA | (0.25) | 7 per month | 3.72 | (0.01) | 8.75 | (5.44) | 30.87 | |
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries | (0.61) | 10 per month | 1.57 | 0.12 | 5.14 | (3.40) | 33.56 | |
| HBB | Hamilton Beach Brands | (1.16) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.37 | (4.98) | 29.81 | |
| LZB | La Z Boy Incorporated | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.62 | 0.01 | 3.19 | (2.19) | 9.51 | |
| MBC | MasterBrand | 0.93 | 9 per month | 2.03 | (0) | 4.01 | (3.18) | 10.47 | |
| ETD | Ethan Allen Interiors | (0.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.96 | (3.97) | 10.65 |
Virco Manufacturing Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Virco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Virco Manufacturing Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Virco Manufacturing stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Virco Manufacturing, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Virco Manufacturing based on analysis of Virco Manufacturing hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Virco Manufacturing's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Virco Manufacturing's related companies. | 2019 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001675 | 0.001508 | 0.001432 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.34 | 0.73 | 0.76 |
Story Coverage note for Virco Manufacturing
The number of cover stories for Virco Manufacturing depends on current market conditions and Virco Manufacturing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Virco Manufacturing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Virco Manufacturing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Virco Manufacturing Short Properties
Virco Manufacturing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Virco Manufacturing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Virco Manufacturing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Virco Manufacturing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Virco Manufacturing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Virco Stock analysis
When running Virco Manufacturing's price analysis, check to measure Virco Manufacturing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virco Manufacturing is operating at the current time. Most of Virco Manufacturing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virco Manufacturing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virco Manufacturing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virco Manufacturing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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