Village Super Market Stock Price Prediction
| VLGEA Stock | USD 31.92 0.92 2.97% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.023 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.044 |
Using Village Super hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Village Super Market from the perspective of Village Super response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Village Super to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Village because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Village Super after-hype prediction price | USD 31.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Village |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Village Super's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Village Super After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Village Super at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Village Super or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Village Super, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Village Super Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Village Super's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Village Super's historical news coverage. Village Super's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.48 and 34.36, respectively. We have considered Village Super's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Village Super is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Village Super Market is based on 3 months time horizon.
Village Super Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Village Super is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Village Super backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Village Super, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.44 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.92 | 31.92 | 0.00 |
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Village Super Hype Timeline
Village Super Market is at this time traded for 31.92. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Village is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Village Super is about 805.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.90. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.02. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Village Super Market last dividend was issued on the 3rd of October 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 23rd of January 2009. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Village Super Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Village Super Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Village Super's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Village Super's future price movements. Getting to know how Village Super's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Village Super may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NGVC | Natural Grocers by | 0.38 | 10 per month | 2.26 | 0.18 | 4.68 | (3.21) | 16.25 | |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.83 | (0.0002) | 2.97 | (3.01) | 17.87 | |
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets Incorporated | (2.82) | 4 per month | 2.10 | (0.05) | 2.48 | (4.43) | 9.45 | |
| OCDDY | Ocado Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.38 | (4.22) | 10.11 | |
| WMK | Weis Markets | 0.20 | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0.02 | 2.76 | (2.66) | 12.22 | |
| ASAI | Sendas Distribuidora SA | 0.21 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.83 | (6.90) | 14.20 | |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.60 | (2.15) | 5.26 |
Village Super Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Village price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Village using various technical indicators. When you analyze Village charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Village Super Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Village Super stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Village Super Market, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Village Super based on analysis of Village Super hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Village Super's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Village Super's related companies. | 2011 | 2015 | 2020 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0354 | 0.0384 | 0.0294 | 0.0458 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.2 | 0.14 |
Story Coverage note for Village Super
The number of cover stories for Village Super depends on current market conditions and Village Super's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Village Super is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Village Super's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Village Super Short Properties
Village Super's future price predictability will typically decrease when Village Super's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Village Super Market often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Village Super's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Village Super's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 117.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Village Stock analysis
When running Village Super's price analysis, check to measure Village Super's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Village Super is operating at the current time. Most of Village Super's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Village Super's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Village Super's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Village Super to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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