Verra Mobility Corp Stock Price Patterns
| VRRM Stock | USD 18.25 1.05 5.44% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.381 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3363 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.331 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3582 | Wall Street Target Price 28.7143 |
Using Verra Mobility hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verra Mobility Corp from the perspective of Verra Mobility response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Verra Mobility using Verra Mobility's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Verra using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Verra Mobility's stock price.
Verra Mobility Short Interest
An investor who is long Verra Mobility may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Verra Mobility and may potentially protect profits, hedge Verra Mobility with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 23.5136 | Short Percent 0.04 | Short Ratio 3.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 5 M | 50 Day MA 21.8563 |
Verra Mobility Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Verra Mobility's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Verra. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Verra can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Verra Mobility Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Verra Mobility's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Verra Mobility.
Verra Mobility Implied Volatility | 0.56 |
Verra Mobility's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Verra Mobility Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Verra Mobility's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Verra Mobility stock will not fluctuate a lot when Verra Mobility's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Verra Mobility to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Verra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Verra Mobility after-hype prediction price | USD 19.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Verra contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Verra Mobility Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Verra Mobility trading at USD 18.25, that is roughly USD 0.006388 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Verra Mobility's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Verra Mobility Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Verra Mobility Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Verra Mobility After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Verra Mobility at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Verra Mobility or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Verra Mobility, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Verra Mobility Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Verra Mobility's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Verra Mobility's historical news coverage. Verra Mobility's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.92 and 20.86, respectively. We have considered Verra Mobility's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Verra Mobility is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Verra Mobility Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Verra Mobility Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Verra Mobility is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Verra Mobility backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Verra Mobility, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.61 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.25 | 19.39 | 0.05 |
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Verra Mobility Hype Timeline
Verra Mobility Corp is at this time traded for 18.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Verra is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.39 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Verra Mobility is about 4351.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.24. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 879.21 M. Net Income was 31.45 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 563.83 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Verra Mobility Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Verra Mobility Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Verra Mobility's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Verra Mobility's future price movements. Getting to know how Verra Mobility's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Verra Mobility may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PAY | Paymentus Holdings | (2.96) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.65 | (5.50) | 36.06 | |
| NIQ | NIQ Global Intelligence | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.96 | 0.12 | 4.93 | (3.20) | 10.33 | |
| SAIC | Science Applications International | 2.71 | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.05 | 3.42 | (2.45) | 21.53 | |
| PSFE | Paysafe | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.29 | (5.16) | 31.29 | |
| BL | Blackline | (0.30) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.70 | (3.99) | 12.75 | |
| AVT | Avnet Inc | (0.23) | 6 per month | 1.07 | 0.13 | 3.50 | (1.89) | 9.18 | |
| COMM | CommScope Holding Co | (0.01) | 9 per month | 2.44 | 0.13 | 4.14 | (4.01) | 15.17 | |
| DAVE | Dave Inc | 1.46 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.29 | (8.15) | 19.16 | |
| DOCN | DigitalOcean Holdings | (1.28) | 10 per month | 2.66 | 0.13 | 7.04 | (5.17) | 24.83 | |
| IPGP | IPG Photonics | 0.17 | 11 per month | 2.39 | 0.03 | 3.62 | (4.00) | 12.41 |
Verra Mobility Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Verra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Verra Mobility Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Verra Mobility stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Verra Mobility Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Verra Mobility based on analysis of Verra Mobility hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Verra Mobility's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Verra Mobility's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 0.55 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.23 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 150.88 | 297.99 | 268.19 | 281.6 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Verra Mobility Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Will Internet Services & Infrastructure sector continue expanding? Could Verra diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verra Mobility. If investors know Verra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Verra Mobility data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.381 | Earnings Share 0.34 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.161 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Verra Mobility Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Verra's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Verra Mobility's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Verra Mobility's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verra Mobility's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verra Mobility is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Verra Mobility's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.