Verra Mobility Corp Stock Price Prediction
| VRRM Stock | USD 25.88 0.16 0.61% |
Momentum 78
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.167 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.31 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.2026 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.2945 | Wall Street Target Price 29 |
Using Verra Mobility hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verra Mobility Corp from the perspective of Verra Mobility response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Verra Mobility using Verra Mobility's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Verra using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Verra Mobility's stock price.
Verra Mobility Short Interest
An investor who is long Verra Mobility may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Verra Mobility and may potentially protect profits, hedge Verra Mobility with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 26.277 | Short Percent 0.0334 | Short Ratio 3.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.7 M | 50 Day MA 24.6114 |
Verra Mobility Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Verra Mobility's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Verra. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Verra can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Verra Mobility Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Verra Mobility's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Verra Mobility.
Verra Mobility Implied Volatility | 0.72 |
Verra Mobility's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Verra Mobility Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Verra Mobility's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Verra Mobility stock will not fluctuate a lot when Verra Mobility's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Verra Mobility to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Verra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Verra Mobility after-hype prediction price | USD 25.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Verra contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Verra Mobility Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Verra Mobility trading at USD 25.88, that is roughly USD 0.0116 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Verra Mobility's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Verra Mobility Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Verra |
Verra Mobility After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Verra Mobility at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Verra Mobility or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Verra Mobility, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Verra Mobility Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Verra Mobility's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Verra Mobility's historical news coverage. Verra Mobility's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.76 and 27.00, respectively. We have considered Verra Mobility's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Verra Mobility is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Verra Mobility Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Verra Mobility Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Verra Mobility is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Verra Mobility backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Verra Mobility, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.11 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.88 | 25.88 | 0.00 |
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Verra Mobility Hype Timeline
Verra Mobility Corp is at this time traded for 25.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Verra is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Verra Mobility is about 11100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.88. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.55. Verra Mobility Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Verra Mobility Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Verra Mobility Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Verra Mobility's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Verra Mobility's future price movements. Getting to know how Verra Mobility's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Verra Mobility may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMXI | International Money Express | (0.19) | 8 per month | 1.46 | (0) | 2.74 | (2.38) | 15.73 | |
| OPCH | Option Care Health | 0.24 | 9 per month | 1.60 | 0.14 | 3.83 | (2.73) | 17.43 | |
| RCM | R1 RCM Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TWNK | Hostess Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FOCS | Focus Financial Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Verra Mobility Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Verra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Verra Mobility Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Verra Mobility stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Verra Mobility Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Verra Mobility based on analysis of Verra Mobility hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Verra Mobility's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Verra Mobility's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 0.59 | 0.55 | 0.63 | 0.91 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 149.11 | 150.88 | 135.79 | 144.96 |
Story Coverage note for Verra Mobility
The number of cover stories for Verra Mobility depends on current market conditions and Verra Mobility's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Verra Mobility is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Verra Mobility's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Verra Mobility Short Properties
Verra Mobility's future price predictability will typically decrease when Verra Mobility's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Verra Mobility Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Verra Mobility's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verra Mobility's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 138.6 M |
Check out Verra Mobility Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verra Mobility. If investors know Verra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verra Mobility listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.167 | Earnings Share 0.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.074 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Verra Mobility Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verra Mobility's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verra Mobility's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verra Mobility's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verra Mobility's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verra Mobility's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verra Mobility is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verra Mobility's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.