Verastem Stock Price Prediction
| VSTM Stock | USD 6.09 0.14 2.35% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.68) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.98) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.79) | Wall Street Target Price 12.5714 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.74) |
Using Verastem hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verastem from the perspective of Verastem response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Verastem using Verastem's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Verastem using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Verastem's stock price.
Verastem Implied Volatility | 1.68 |
Verastem's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Verastem stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Verastem's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Verastem stock will not fluctuate a lot when Verastem's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Verastem to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Verastem because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Verastem after-hype prediction price | USD 6.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Verastem contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Verastem will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Verastem trading at USD 6.09, that is roughly USD 0.006395 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Verastem's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Verastem options at the current volatility level of 1.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Verastem |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Verastem's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Verastem After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Verastem at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Verastem or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Verastem, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Verastem Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Verastem's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Verastem's historical news coverage. Verastem's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.30 and 14.24, respectively. We have considered Verastem's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Verastem is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Verastem is based on 3 months time horizon.
Verastem Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Verastem is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Verastem backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Verastem, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.81 | 8.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 9 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.09 | 6.09 | 0.00 |
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Verastem Hype Timeline
Verastem is at this time traded for 6.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Verastem is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.81%. %. The volatility of related hype on Verastem is about 3697.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.27. About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.14. Verastem had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:12 split on the 1st of June 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Verastem Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Verastem Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Verastem's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Verastem's future price movements. Getting to know how Verastem's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Verastem may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VKTX | Viking Therapeutics | 1.09 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 4.30 | (9.14) | 22.92 | |
| TRVN | Trevena | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KPTI | Karyopharm Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.97 | (6.06) | 26.35 | |
| ACRX | AcelRx Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| INFI | Infinity Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Verastem Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Verastem price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verastem using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verastem charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Verastem Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Verastem stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Verastem, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Verastem based on analysis of Verastem hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Verastem's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Verastem's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Graham Number | 17.39 | 17.51 | 16.64 | Receivables Turnover | 83.74 | 96.3 | 121.51 |
Story Coverage note for Verastem
The number of cover stories for Verastem depends on current market conditions and Verastem's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Verastem is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Verastem's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Verastem Short Properties
Verastem's future price predictability will typically decrease when Verastem's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Verastem often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Verastem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verastem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 137.1 M |
Check out Verastem Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Verastem Stock, please use our How to Invest in Verastem guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verastem. If investors know Verastem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verastem listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.14) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (1.00) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Verastem is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verastem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verastem's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verastem's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verastem's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verastem's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verastem's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verastem is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verastem's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.