Vivopower International Plc Stock Price Patterns
| VVPR Stock | USD 1.30 0.04 2.99% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.99) |
Using VivoPower International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VivoPower International PLC from the perspective of VivoPower International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VivoPower International using VivoPower International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VivoPower using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VivoPower International's stock price.
VivoPower International Short Interest
An investor who is long VivoPower International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about VivoPower International and may potentially protect profits, hedge VivoPower International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 4.1218 | Short Percent 0.0549 | Short Ratio 2.09 | Shares Short Prior Month 697.9 K | 50 Day MA 2.4393 |
VivoPower International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to VivoPower International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in VivoPower. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding VivoPower can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around VivoPower International PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of VivoPower International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about VivoPower International.
VivoPower International Implied Volatility | 2.91 |
VivoPower International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VivoPower International PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VivoPower International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VivoPower International stock will not fluctuate a lot when VivoPower International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in VivoPower International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying VivoPower because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
VivoPower International after-hype prediction price | USD 1.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
VivoPower | Build AI portfolio with VivoPower Stock |
VivoPower International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VivoPower International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VivoPower International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VivoPower International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VivoPower International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VivoPower International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VivoPower International's historical news coverage. VivoPower International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 9.92, respectively. We have considered VivoPower International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VivoPower International is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VivoPower International is based on 3 months time horizon.
VivoPower International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VivoPower International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VivoPower International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VivoPower International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.08 | 8.29 | 0.33 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.30 | 1.63 | 25.38 |
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VivoPower International Hype Timeline
VivoPower International is at this time traded for 1.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. VivoPower is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.63 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 25.38%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.08%. The volatility of related hype on VivoPower International is about 33160.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.33. VivoPower International PLC currently holds 29.19 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.3, which is about average as compared to similar companies. VivoPower International has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about VivoPower International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out VivoPower International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.VivoPower International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VivoPower International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VivoPower International's future price movements. Getting to know how VivoPower International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VivoPower International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMXT | Solarmax Technology Common | (0.13) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 10.23 | (10.20) | 29.70 | |
| SPRU | Spruce Power Holding | 0.05 | 9 per month | 5.67 | 0.12 | 13.68 | (7.19) | 81.84 | |
| BEEM | Beam Global | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.91 | (7.60) | 19.76 | |
| MAXN | Maxeon Solar Technologies | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.61 | (7.90) | 32.99 | |
| USEG | US Energy Corp | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.07 | (6.09) | 20.41 | |
| KLXE | KLX Energy Services | (0.05) | 6 per month | 5.17 | 0.09 | 10.85 | (9.47) | 32.97 | |
| INDO | Indonesia Energy | 0.31 | 7 per month | 5.05 | 0.09 | 10.28 | (8.11) | 29.93 | |
| SPWR | Complete Solaria | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.96 | (6.01) | 16.38 | |
| PED | PEDEVCO Corp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 3.39 | 0.01 | 6.00 | (5.56) | 16.10 | |
| RCON | Recon Technology | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.11 | (6.38) | 18.87 |
VivoPower International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VivoPower price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VivoPower using various technical indicators. When you analyze VivoPower charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About VivoPower International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of VivoPower International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as VivoPower International PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of VivoPower International based on analysis of VivoPower International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to VivoPower International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to VivoPower International's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Interest Debt Per Share | 10.85 | 5.21 | 17.12 | 14.73 | Revenue Per Share | 0.005098 | 0.009166 | 29.7 | 19.36 |
Pair Trading with VivoPower International
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if VivoPower International position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in VivoPower International will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against VivoPower Stock
| 0.69 | ENLT | Enlight Renewable Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | KEN | Kenon Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | ORA | Ormat Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | 7TE1 | Engie Brasil Energia Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | 66T | Scatec Solar OL | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | ELLO | Ellomay Capital | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to VivoPower International could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace VivoPower International when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back VivoPower International - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling VivoPower International PLC to buy it.
The correlation of VivoPower International is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as VivoPower International moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if VivoPower International moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for VivoPower International can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for VivoPower Stock Analysis
When running VivoPower International's price analysis, check to measure VivoPower International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VivoPower International is operating at the current time. Most of VivoPower International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VivoPower International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VivoPower International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VivoPower International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.