Vanguard Total International Etf Price Patterns
| VXUS Etf | USD 79.66 1.29 1.59% |
Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vanguard Total hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vanguard Total International from the perspective of Vanguard Total response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vanguard Total using Vanguard Total's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vanguard using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vanguard Total's stock price.
Vanguard Total Implied Volatility | 0.24 |
Vanguard Total's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vanguard Total International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vanguard Total's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vanguard Total stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vanguard Total's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vanguard Total to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vanguard because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vanguard Total after-hype prediction price | USD 80.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vanguard contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vanguard Total International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.015% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Vanguard Total trading at USD 79.66, that is roughly USD 0.0119 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vanguard Total's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vanguard Total International options at the current volatility level of 0.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Total's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Total After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vanguard Total at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vanguard Total or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Vanguard Total, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vanguard Total Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vanguard Total's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vanguard Total's historical news coverage. Vanguard Total's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.27 and 81.63, respectively. We have considered Vanguard Total's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vanguard Total is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vanguard Total Inter is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vanguard Total Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Vanguard Total is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vanguard Total backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vanguard Total, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 0.72 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
79.66 | 80.95 | 0.00 |
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Vanguard Total Hype Timeline
Vanguard Total Inter is at this time traded for 79.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Vanguard is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vanguard Total is about 192.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.61. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.44. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Vanguard Total Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vanguard Total Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vanguard Total's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vanguard Total's future price movements. Getting to know how Vanguard Total's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vanguard Total may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VTPSX | Vanguard Total International | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.50 | 0.12 | 1.27 | (1.20) | 3.86 | |
| VTIAX | Vanguard Total International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | 0.12 | 1.28 | (1.18) | 3.84 | |
| SPY | SPDR SP 500 | (0.87) | 8 per month | 0.78 | (0.02) | 1.15 | (1.19) | 3.60 | |
| VTMGX | Vanguard Developed Markets | (0.14) | 1 per month | 0.56 | 0.14 | 1.33 | (1.24) | 3.84 | |
| VEA | Vanguard FTSE Developed | 0.20 | 10 per month | 0.54 | 0.15 | 1.19 | (1.29) | 2.82 | |
| VTMNX | Vanguard Developed Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | 0.14 | 1.31 | (1.19) | 3.78 | |
| VINIX | Vanguard Institutional Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.75 | (0.02) | 1.16 | (1.17) | 3.61 | |
| VUG | Vanguard Growth Index | (3.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.38 | (1.75) | 4.89 | |
| VIGAX | Vanguard Growth Index | 0.05 | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.38 | (1.81) | 5.02 | |
| VEUSX | Vanguard European Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.53 | 0.11 | 1.60 | (1.31) | 3.33 |
Vanguard Total Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vanguard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vanguard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vanguard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vanguard Total Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vanguard Total stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vanguard Total International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vanguard Total based on analysis of Vanguard Total hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vanguard Total's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vanguard Total's related companies.
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Check out Vanguard Total Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Vanguard Total Inter's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Vanguard's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Vanguard Total's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Vanguard Total's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Total is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.